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2022 Hawaii gubernatorial election

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2022 Hawaii gubernatorial election

← 2018 November 8, 2022 2026 →
 
Nominee Josh Green Duke Aiona
Party Democratic Republican
Running mate Sylvia Luke Seaula Tupa'i Jr.

Incumbent Governor

David Ige
Democratic



The 2022 Hawaii gubernatorial election will take place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Hawaii. Incumbent Democratic Governor David Ige is term-limited and therefore ineligible to run for a third term. Incumbent Lt. Governor Josh Green is the Democratic nominee, who is facing former Lt. Governor Duke Aiona, the Republican nominee. This marks the third time Aiona has been the Republican gubernatorial nominee, since his previous unsuccessful runs in 2010 and 2014.

Democratic primary

Governor

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Democratic candidates[9][a]
Disqualified
  • David Ford[3]
  • John Mungo (Jony Makalani)[3]
Withdrew
Declined
Endorsements
Kirk Caldwell (withdrew)
Vicky Cayetano
Organizations
  • Patsy T. Mink Foundation[17]
Josh Green
Labor unions
Publications
  • Honolulu Star-Advertiser Editorial Board [20]
Kai Kahele

Polling

Graphical summary
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Kirk
Caldwell
Vicky
Cayetano
Josh
Green
Kai
Kahele
Undecided
Mason-Dixon July 12–17, 2022 317 (LV) ± 5.6% 19% 55% 16% 10%
MRG Research June 28–30, 2022 782 (LV) ± 4.0% 15% 48% 16% 22%
May 4, 2022 Caldwell withdraws from the race
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] February 8–9, 2022 644 (LV) ± 3.9% 5% 10% 46% 14% 25%
10% 48% 17% 25%
Mason-Dixon January 24–28, 2022 320 (LV) ± 5.6% 11% 8% 58% 23%
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] November 5–6, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 7% 14% 51% 28%
21% 58%

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Josh Green 157,476 62.9
Democratic Vicky Cayetano 52,237 20.9
Democratic Kai Kahele 37,540 15.0
Democratic Van Tanabe 1,232 0.5
Democratic Richard Kim 985 0.4
Democratic David Bourgoin 589 0.2
Democratic Clyde Lewman 246 0.1
Total votes 250,305 100.00

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Democratic candidates[a]
Withdrew
Declined

Endorsements

Keith Amemiya
Ikaika Anderson
Individuals
Labor unions
Sherry Menor-McNamara
Organizations
  • Japanese Chamber of Commerce and Industry of Hawaii[35]
Sylvia Luke
Labor unions
Organizations and Professional Associations
  • Americans for Democratic Action[35]
  • General Contractors Association of Hawai‘i[35]
  • Patsy T. Mink PAC[35]
Publications
  • Honolulu Star-Advertiser Editorial Board[38]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Keith
Amemiya
Ikaika
Anderson
Sylvia
Luke
Sherry
Menor-McNamara
Jill
Tokuda
Undecided
Mason-Dixon July 12–17, 2022 317 (LV) ± 5.6% 19% 18% 21% 4% 38%
MRG Research June 28–30, 2022 782 (LV) ± 4.0% 10% 14% 20% 7% 48%
April 27, 2022 Tokuda withdraws from the race
Mason-Dixon January 24–28, 2022 320 (LV) ± 5.6% 8% 9% 3% 7% 13% 60%

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Sylvia Luke 87,456 36.2
Democratic Ikaika Anderson 67,159 27.8
Democratic Keith Amemiya 56,923 23.6
Democratic Sherry Menor-McNamara 25,249 10.5
Democratic Sam Puletasi 2,316 1.0
Democratic Daniel Cunningham 2,199 0.9
Total votes 241,302 100.00

Republican primary

Governor

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Republican candidates[9][a]
Disqualified
Declined
Endorsements
Duke Aiona
Labor Unions
  • State of Hawaii Organization of Police Officers, police union [49]
Publications
  • Honolulu Star-Advertiser Editorial Board [20]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Duke
Aiona
Gary
Cordery
Lynn Barry
Mariano
Paul
Morgan
B.J.
Penn
Heidi Haunani
Tsuneyoshi
Undecided
Mason-Dixon July 12–17, 2022 133 (LV) ± 8.7% 48% 26% 9% 17%
MRG Research June 28–30, 2022 269 (LV) ± 6.0% 27% 7% 3% 1% 24% 9% 29%

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Duke Aiona 37,406 49.6
Republican B.J. Penn 19,667 26.1
Republican Gary Cordery 8,215 10.9
Republican Heidi Haunani Tsuneyoshi 7,206 9.6
Republican Lynn Barry Mariano 897 1.2
Republican Paul Morgan 790 1.0
Republican Keline Kahau 465 0.6
Republican Walter Woods 435 0.6
Republican Moses Paskowitz 188 0.3
Republican George Hawat 139 0.2
Total votes 75,408 100.00

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Nominee
  • Seaula Tupa'i Jr., pastor[3]
Eliminated in primary
  • Rob Burns, realtor
  • Tae Kim, candidate for Honolulu prosecutor in 2020[3]
Disqualified
  • Zachary Burd[3]

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Seaula Tupai Jr. 35,577 53.6
Republican Rob Burns 22,997 34.6
Republican Tae Kim 7,854 11.8
Total votes 66,428 100.00

Libertarian primary

Governor

Candidates

  • Daniel Peddie
  • Gene Tamashiro
Disqualified
  • T. K. Hinshaw, pilot, skydiver, and businessman[3]

Results

Libertarian primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Gene Tamashiro
Libertarian Daniel Peddie
Total votes 100.00

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

  • TK Hinshaw
Disqualified

Results

Libertarian primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian TK Hinshaw
Total votes 100.00

Aloha ʻĀina primary

Governor

Candidates

Disqualified

Lieutenant Governor

Candidates

Declared
  • Shaena Dela Cruz, Airline Customer Service Agent

Results

Aloha ʻĀina primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Aloha ʻĀina Shaena Dela Cruz
Total votes

Nonpartisan primary

Governor

Candidates

Nominee
  • Keleionalani Taylor, activist
Eliminated in primary
  • John "Raghu" Giuffre
  • Caleb Nazara, pastor
  • Iris Seaton
Disqualified
  • Shelby J.K. Billionaire[3]
  • Mihail Gilevich[3]
  • Lindsey Kinney[3]
  • Robert Rowland[3]

Results

Nonpartisan primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Nonpartisan Keleionalani Taylor 746 12.2%
Nonpartisan Caleb Nazara 459 7.5%
Nonpartisan David Ford
Nonpartisan John Giuffre
Nonpartisan Iris Seaton
Total votes 100.00

Lieutenant Governor

Candidates

Nominee
  • Charles Keoho

Results

Nonpartisan primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Nonpartisan Charles Keoho 1,020 100.00
Total votes 1,020 100.00

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[50] Solid D March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[51] Solid D March 4, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[52] Safe D January 26, 2022
Politico[53] Solid D April 1, 2022
RCP[54] Safe D January 10, 2022
Fox News[55] Solid D May 12, 2022
538[56] Solid D June 30, 2022

Endorsements

Josh Green (D)
Labor unions
Publications
  • Honolulu Star-Advertiser Editorial Board [20] (co-endorse with Aiona)
Duke Aiona (R)
Labor Unions
  • State of Hawaii Organization of Police Officers, police union [57]
Publications
  • Honolulu Star-Advertiser Editorial Board [20] (co-endorse with Green)

Results

2022 Hawaii gubernatorial election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic
Republican
Libertarian
  • TBD
  • TBD
Independent
  • Keleionalani Taylor
  • Charles Keoho
Total votes 100.00

Notes

  1. ^ a b c The images in this gallery are in the public domain or are otherwise free to use. This gallery should not be construed as a list of major or noteworthy candidates. If a candidate is not included in this gallery, it is only because there are no high-quality, copyright-free photographs of them available on the Internet.
  2. ^ a b c Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by 314 Action, which endorsed Josh Green

References

  1. ^ a b Nagaoka, Ashley (August 15, 2019). "Believe it or not, race to replace Gov. Ige is already taking shape". Hawaii News Now. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
  2. ^ a b Blair, Chad (October 1, 2019). "Caldwell Schedules Campaign Fundraiser For Governor's Race". Honolulu Civil Beat. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac "2022 Office of Elections Filing Report". Hawaii Office of Elections. March 4, 2022. Retrieved March 11, 2022.
  4. ^ Dayton, Kevin (July 15, 2021). "Former First Lady Vicky Cayetano Is Mulling A Run For Governor". Honolulu Civil Beat.
  5. ^ "Former First Lady Vicky Cayetano Announces Run for Governor". Hawai'i Public Radio. August 31, 2021. Retrieved September 10, 2021.
  6. ^ "Vicky Cayetano launches Democratic gubernatorial campaign". news.yahoo.com. Retrieved September 10, 2021.
  7. ^ McIntire, Mary Ellen (April 28, 2022). "Report: Hawaii's Kahele to run for governor instead of reelection". Roll Call. Retrieved May 2, 2022.
  8. ^ Nakaso, Dan (May 7, 2022). "U.S. Rep. Kai Kahele announces bid for governor". Retrieved May 7, 2022.
  9. ^ a b c "Candidate Filing System". csc.hawaii.gov.
  10. ^ Blair, Chad (May 4, 2022). "Kirk Caldwell Drops Out Of Race For Hawaii Governor". Honolulu Civil Beat. Retrieved May 4, 2022.
  11. ^ "'Not my time': Former Mayor Kirk Caldwell drops out of race for governor". Hawaii News Now. May 4, 2022. Retrieved May 4, 2022.
  12. ^ Coleman, J. Miles. "2022 Gubernatorial Races: A Baseline – Sabato's Crystal Ball". Retrieved June 11, 2021.
  13. ^ Fisher, Jessica (March 21, 2019). "7 Democratic party hopefuls who may have other ambitions". Medium.com. Retrieved March 12, 2021.
  14. ^ Morales, Manolo (February 26, 2021). "Police Report Disputes Rep. Sharon Har's Statement about DUI Arrest". KHON2. Retrieved June 5, 2021.
  15. ^ Wells, Dylan (December 22, 2020). "NEW: Former Rep. Colleen Hanabusa (D-HI 01) is not ruling out running for governor in 2022. Hanabusa left Congress in 2018 to run against incumbent Gov. David Ige (D), who cannot run in 2022 because of term limits. #HIGov #Hileg". National Journal. Retrieved December 22, 2020.
  16. ^ HPR News Staff (November 24, 2021). "Kauaʻi Mayor Derek Kawakami endorses Kirk Caldwell in governor's race".
  17. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab Nakaso, Dan (July 4, 2022). "U.S. Rep. Kai Kahele gets key union backing, Lt. Gov. Josh Green adds to long list". Retrieved July 16, 2022.
  18. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k Nakaso, Dan (April 3, 2022). "Endorsements stacking up for Josh Green in Hawaii governor's race". Honolulu Star-Advertiser. Retrieved June 1, 2022.
  19. ^ a b c d e f Dayton, Kevin (March 28, 2022). "Lt. Gov. Josh Green Is Racking Up Union Endorsements, Adding To His Momentum". Honolulu Civil Beat. Retrieved June 1, 2022.
  20. ^ a b c d Honolulu Star-Advertiser Editorial Board (July 24, 2022). "Editorial: For governor's race, it's Josh Green and Duke Aiona".
  21. ^ a b "Congressman Kaialiʻi Kahele makes official announcement of run for Hawaiʻi Governor". www.mauinow.com. May 7, 2022. Retrieved May 14, 2022.
  22. ^ Blair, Chad (October 24, 2021). "Hawaii Rep. Sylvia Luke Plans To Run For Lieutenant Governor". Honolulu Civil Beat. Retrieved October 27, 2021.
  23. ^ "State Rep. Sylvia Luke announces run for lieutenant governor". Hawaii News Now.
  24. ^ Nakaso, Dan (November 7, 2021). "Keith Amemiya joins race for lieutenant governor". Honolulu Star-Advertiser. Retrieved November 8, 2021.
  25. ^ "Ikaika Anderson Launches Campaign for Hawaii Lt. Governor". October 12, 2021.
  26. ^ Nakaso, Dan (November 3, 2021). "Chamber of Commerce Hawaii leader Sherry Menor-McNamara running for lieutenant governor". Honolulu Star-Advertiser. Retrieved November 3, 2021.
  27. ^ "Former State Senator Jill Tokuda seeking to be Hawaiʻi's next lieutenant governor". October 7, 2021.
  28. ^ Nakaso, Dan (April 26, 2022). "Former state Sen. Jill Tokuda files to challenge Kai Kahele for congressional seat". Honolulu Star-Advertiser. Retrieved May 4, 2022.
  29. ^ Richardson, Mahealani (April 27, 2022). "Mounting speculation about a Kahele run for governor triggers 'grand chess game'". Hawaii News Now. Retrieved May 4, 2022.
  30. ^ a b c "Chad Blair: Here's How Hawaii's Top 2022 Political Races Are Shaking Out". August 19, 2021.
  31. ^ "Sergio Alcubilla for Congress". Sergio Alcubilla for Congress.
  32. ^ Nakaso, Dan (October 13, 2021). "Race expanding for Hawaii's next lieutenant governor". Honolulu Star-Advertiser. Retrieved November 3, 2021.
  33. ^ "Lee Cataluna: Candidates for LG May Find the Game Has Changed". October 13, 2021.
  34. ^ a b c d Ancheta, Dillon (October 12, 2021). "Former City Council chair criticized by constituent at Lt. Gov. campaign launch". Hawaii News Now. Retrieved December 5, 2021.
  35. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m Nakaso, Dan (July 12, 2022). "Ikaika Anderson receives key endorsement, Sylvia Luke has most in race for lieutenant governor". Retrieved July 16, 2022.
  36. ^ "Hawaii police officers' union endorses former councilman in Lt. Gov. race". Hawaii News Now. Retrieved June 1, 2022.
  37. ^ "HGEA endorses Sylvia Luke for lieutenant governor". Hawaii News Now. March 22, 2022. Retrieved June 1, 2022.
  38. ^ Honolulu Star-Advertiser Editorial Board (July 24, 2022). "Editorial: For lieutenant governor's race, it's Sylvia Luke". Honolulu Star-Advertiser.
  39. ^ "Former Lt. Gov. James 'Duke' Aiona files papers to run for governor". Hawaii News Now. June 7, 2022.
  40. ^ "'We lack a moral compass': Duke Aiona finally explains his decision to join the race for governor". Hawaii News Now. June 15, 2022.
  41. ^ "Vote Gary Cordery for Governor - Gary Cordery For Governor". March 7, 2022.
  42. ^ "Hawaii veteran joins governor's race on Republican ticket".
  43. ^ "Paul Morgan To Officially Announce His Candidacy for Hawai'i Governor". Retrieved September 9, 2021.
  44. ^ "Paul Morgan For Governor". Retrieved September 9, 2021.
  45. ^ "Wanting to eliminate mandates, UFC fighter BJ Penn eyes run for governor".
  46. ^ "City Councilmember Heidi Tsuneyoshi announces run for governor".
  47. ^ Richardson, Mahealani (January 6, 2022). "Businessman's potential gubernatorial run could shake up general election race". Hawaii News Now. Retrieved January 23, 2022.
  48. ^ "City Council Member Andria Tupola Will Not Run for Governor Next Year". August 5, 2021.
  49. ^ Dan Nakaso (July 20, 2022). "Hawaii police union endorses Aiona for governor".
  50. ^ "2022 Governor Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 4, 2021.
  51. ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved February 19, 2021.
  52. ^ "2022 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  53. ^ "Hawaii Governor Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
  54. ^ "2022 Governor Races". RCP. January 10, 2022. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
  55. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
  56. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  57. ^ Dan Nakaso (July 20, 2022). "Hawaii police union endorses Aiona for governor".

External links

Official campaign websites