Jump to content

Opinion polling for the 2009 European Parliament election in France

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

This is a list of public opinion polls conducted for the 2009 European Parliament election in France, which was held on 7 June 2009.

Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission (Commission nationale des sondages) and utilize the quota method.

Graphical summary

[edit]

The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the seven major French pollsters. The graphs are smoothed 14-day weighted moving averages, using only the most recent poll conducted by any given pollster within that range (each poll weighted based on recency).

Because the Ipsos poll conducted from 5 to 6 June was not published during the electoral silence, it is not included in the average below.

Voting intentions

[edit]

Polls conducted specifically for subsample data are listed with one asterisk (*), while the hypothetical poll conducted for the Left Party by Ifop in January 2009 is marked with two asterisks (**). The Ipsos poll conducted from 5 to 6 June was an internal survey which was not distributed during the electoral silence.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. LO NPA FG PS EE AEI MoDem NC UMP MPF CPNT DLR FN PDF DIV
2009 election 7 Jun 2009 59.37% 1.20% 4.88% 6.05% 16.48% 16.28% 3.63% 8.46% 27.88% 4.80% (Libertas) 1.77% 6.34% 0.51% 1.73%
Ipsos 5–6 Jun 2009 888 1.5% 5% 6.5% 18% 16.5% 1.5% 8.5% 28.5% 5% 1% 5.5% 2.5%
Ifop 4–5 Jun 2009 856 63% 1.5% 5% 6% 20% 12% 12% 27.5% 4.5% 1.5% 5.5% 4.5%
CSA[dead link] 3–4 Jun 2009 875 1% 5% 6% 20% 11% 2% 14% 25% 6% 1% 7% 2%
TNS Sofres 3–4 Jun 2009 1,000 1.5% 4.5% 6.5% 19% 15.5% 1.5% 12.5% 27% 4% 1% 5% 2%
Ipsos 2–3 Jun 2009 1,002 60% 1.5% 6.5% 6% 21% 11% 1.5% 11% 27% 6% 1% 5.5% 2%
OpinionWay 2–3 Jun 2009 4,970 56% 2.5% 5% 6% 20% 12% 2% 12.5% 26% 5% 0.5% 6.5% 2%
TNS Sofres 2 Jun 2009 1,000 2.5% 5.5% 6.5% 20% 13.5% 2% 11% 27% 4% 1% 4% 3%
BVA 27 May–1 Jun 2009 3,527 1.5% 6.5% 6% 21.5% 11% 1.5% 11% 26% 4.5% 0.5% 8.5% 1.5%
Ipsos 29–30 May 2009 861 60% 1.5% 7% 5.5% 21% 11% 2% 12% 26% 6% 0.5% 5.5% 2%
Ifop 28–29 May 2009 858 63% 1% 7% 7% 21% 9.5% 13% 27% 5% 1% 6% 2.5%
CSA[dead link] 27–28 May 2009 862 2% 5% 6% 21% 9% 2% 13% 25% 6% 1% 8% 2%
TNS Sofres 27–28 May 2009 1,000 2.5% 6% 7% 20% 11% 1.5% 13% 26% 4.5% 0.5% 6% 2%
OpinionWay 25–27 May 2009 5,581 1% 6% 5% 20% 10% 2.5% 13% 26% 6% 0.5% 7% 3%
TNS Sofres 25–26 May 2009 1,000 2% 6% 7% 19% 11% 1.5% 14% 26% 4% 0.5% 6% 3%
Ipsos 22–23 May 2009 861 63% 2% 7% 5% 20% 10.5% 13% 26% 6% 1% 5.5% 4%
CSA[dead link] 19–20 May 2009 903 1% 6% 5% 21% 9% 2% 14% 26% 6% 1% 7% 2%
OpinionWay 15–18 May 2009 4,724 2% 6% 5% 21% 10% 2% 13% 28% 5.5% 0.5% 6% 1%
Ipsos 15–16 May 2009 862 2% 7% 5% 22% 10% 11% 28% 6% 1% 5% 3%
Viavoice 13–15 May 2009 1,010 2% 6% 6% 22% 9% 13% 27% 5% 2% 6% 2%
CSA[dead link] 13–14 May 2009 1,003 2% 5% 4% 22% 10% 2% 13% 28% 5% 1% 6% 2%
OpinionWay 7–10 May 2009 5,079 2% 7% 5% 22% 9% 1% 13% 27% 5% 1% 7% 1%
Ifop 6–7 May 2009 886 2% 7% 6.5% 21.5% 7% 13.5% 27% 5% 1% 7.5% 2%
Ifop* 29 Apr–7 May 2009 1,741 2% 7.5% 6.5% 21.5% 8% 14% 26% 5% 7.5% 2%
Ipsos 30 Apr–2 May 2009 861 2% 7% 6% 23% 10% 11% 27% 6% 1% 5% 2%
Ifop 23–24 Apr 2009 853 3% 7% 5.5% 22.5% 7.5% 14% 26.5% 5% 1% 7.5% 0.5%
OpinionWay 16–17 Apr 2009 1,005 7% 5% 23% 10% 12% 28% 5% 1% 6% 3%
CSA[dead link] 15–16 Apr 2009 904 2% 7% 3% 25% 10% 12% 27% 5% 1% 8%
Ipsos 13–14 Mar 2009 887 2% 9% 6% 24% 9% 10% 27% 6% 1% 5.5% 0.5%
Ifop 12–13 Feb 2009 862 3% 9% 4% 23% 7% 14.5% 26% 5% 2% 6% 0.5%
Ifop** 22–23 Jan 2009 876 14.5% 22.5% 7% 14% 25.5% 6% 2.5% 1.5% 6.5%
Ifop 27–28 Nov 2008 881 4% 8% 4% 22% 11% 12% 2% 22% 4% 3% 1% 7%
2004 election 13 Jun 2004 57.24% 2.56% 5.25% 28.90% 7.41% 1.91% 11.96% (UDF) 16.64% 6.67% 1.73% 9.81% 7.16%

By constituency

[edit]

Nord-Ouest

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. LO NPA FG PS EE AEI MoDem NC UMP MPF CPNT DLR FN PDF DIV
2009 election 7 Jun 2009 60.21% 2.08% 5.80% 6.84% 18.10% 12.10% 3.56% 8.67% 24.22% 4.26% 2.40% 10.18% 1.52% 0.28%
BVA 27 May–1 Jun 2009 500 5% 9% 5% 22% 8% 1% 11% 23% 5% 9% 1% 1%

Ouest

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. LO NPA FG PS EE AEI MoDem NC UMP MPF CPNT DLR FN DIV
2009 election 7 Jun 2009 57.64% 1.25% 5.13% 4.58% 17.29% 16.65% 3.73% 8.48% 27.16% 10.27% 0.59% 3.06% 1.82%
BVA 27 May–1 Jun 2009 500 2% 6% 3% 24% 12% 1% 16% 22% 7% 5% 2%

Est

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. LO NPA FG PS EE AEI MoDem NC UMP MPF CPNT DLR FN DIV
2009 election 7 Jun 2009 60.90% 1.46% 5.64% 3.89% 17.24% 14.28% 4.26% 9.44% 29.20% 4.10% 2.33% 7.57% 0.58%
BVA 27 May–1 Jun 2009 500 1.5% 7% 6% 20% 9% 1.5% 10% 24% 5% 15% 1%

Sud-Ouest

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. LO NPA FG PS EE AEI MoDem NC UMP MPF CPNT DLR FN PDF DIV
2009 election 7 Jun 2009 55.50% 1.02% 5.62% 8.16% 17.72% 15.83% 4.24% 8.61% 26.89% 3.06% 1.28% 5.94% 0.92% 0.74%
BVA 27 May–1 Jun 2009 500 2% 8% 7% 21% 11% 2% 12% 24% 3% 8% 2%
Ifop 12–13 May 2009 703 2% 7% 7% 23% 8.5% 3% 13% 23.5% 5% 5.5% 2.5%

Sud-Est

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. LO NPA FG PS EE AEI MoDem NC UMP MPF CPNT DLR FN DIV
2009 election 7 Jun 2009 60.36% 0.84% 4.33% 5.90% 14.49% 18.27% 3.75% 7.37% 29.34% 4.29% 1.99% 8.49% 0.92%
BVA 27 May–1 Jun 2009 500 1.5% 5.5% 6% 22% 9% 1% 8.5% 29% 7% 9.5% 1%

Massif-Central Centre

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. LO NPA FG PS EE AEI MoDem NC UMP MPF CPNT DLR FN PDF DIV
2009 election 7 Jun 2009 57.43% 1.40% 5.45% 8.06% 17.79% 13.58% 3.45% 8.15% 28.51% 4.90% 1.43% 5.12% 1.88% 0.27%
BVA 27 May–1 Jun 2009 500 1% 6% 6% 23% 11% 2% 10% 27% 3% 9% 2%

Île-de-France

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Abs. LO NPA FG PS EE AEI MoDem NC UMP MPF CPNT DLR FN PAS DIV
2009 election 7 Jun 2009 57.94% 0.74% 3.48% 6.32% 13.58% 20.86% 2.97% 8.52% 29.60% 3.28% 2.44% 4.40% 1.30% 2.51%
BVA 27 May–1 Jun 2009 500 1% 3% 7% 18% 16% 2% 11% 30.5% 3% 1% 5% 0.5% 2%
TNS Sofres 14–16 May 2009 1,000 1% 3% 5.5% 21.5% 14% 3% 12% 33% 1% 0.5% 4% 0.5% 1%

See also

[edit]
[edit]