Antikythera mechanism: Difference between revisions

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Restored revision 1222344653 by Pdebee (talk): Looks to be OR as well as breaking the code.
m Two sentences giving the correct conclusion from Malin and Dickens' article. The previous statement in this Wiki article was incorrect.
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The front dial has two concentric circular scales. The inner scale marks the Greek signs of the zodiac, with division in degrees. The outer scale, which is a moveable ring that sits flush with the surface and runs in a channel, is marked off with what appear to be days and has a series of corresponding holes beneath the ring in the channel.
 
Since the discovery of the mechanism, this outer ring has been presumed to represent the 365&nbsp;day Egyptian calendar, but recent research challenged this presumption and provided evidence it is most likely divided into 354 intervals.<ref>{{cite report |author1=Budiselic |display-authors=etal |date=December 2020 |title=Antikythera mechanism: Evidence of a lunar calendar |place=Newark, UK |publisher=British Horological Institute |website=BHI.Co.UK |url=https://bhi.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/BHI-Antikythera-Mechanism-Evidence-of-a-Lunar-Calendar.pdf |access-date=12 December 2020 |archive-date=13 December 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201213144005/https://bhi.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/BHI-Antikythera-Mechanism-Evidence-of-a-Lunar-Calendar.pdf |url-status=live }}</ref> Since this initial discovery, two research teams, using different methods, independently calculated the interval count. Woan and Bayley calculate 354-355 intervals using two different methods, confirming with higher accuracy the Budiselic et al. findings noting "365 holes is not plausible."<ref>{{cite report |author1=Woan and Bayley |date=February 2024 |title= An improved calendar ring hole-count for the Antikythera mechanism |arxiv=2403.00040 }}</ref> Malin and Dickens' weighted estimate is 352.3±1.5 and conclude: "The probability that N is 1.8 standard errors greater than 354.8 is only 1 in 28.6. The 354-division hypothesis of BTDR, on the other hand, is well within one standard error. If this were a two-horse race, 354 would be the hot favourite and 365 the 28-to-1 outsider."<ref>{{cite report |author1= Malin and Dickens |date=April 2024 |title=How Many Days in an Egyptian Year? Evidence from the Antikythera Mechanism |page= 142 |place=Newark, UK |publisher=British Horological Institute |website=BHI.Co.UK |url=https://bhi.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/04-HJApril24-AOTM.pdf |access-date=15 April 2024 }}</ref> "Malin and Dickens' best estimate is 352.3±1.5 and they conclude: " The number of holes, N, has to be integral and the Standard Error of 1.5 indicates that there is less than a 5% probability that N is not one of the six values in the range 350 to 355".<nowiki></ref></nowiki> [57].
 
If one subscribes to the 365&nbsp;day presumption, it is recognized the mechanism predates the [[Julian calendar]] reform, but the [[Sothic cycle|Sothic]] and [[Callippus|Callippic]] cycles had already pointed to a {{sfrac|365|1|4}}&nbsp;day solar year, as seen in [[Ptolemy III Euergetes|Ptolemy&nbsp;III]]'s attempted calendar reform of 238&nbsp;BC. The dials are not believed to reflect his proposed leap day ([[Epag.]]&nbsp;6), but the outer calendar dial may be moved against the inner dial to compensate for the effect of the extra quarter-day in the solar year by turning the scale backward one day every four years.