Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election: Difference between revisions
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{{US 2008 presidential elections series}}
{{external links|date=June 2016}}
<gallery perrow=2 align=right widths=200px>
File:Official portrait of Barack Obama.jpg|Democratic nominee<br>[[Barack Obama]]
File:John McCain official portrait 2009.jpg|Republican nominee<br>[[John McCain]]
File:Joe Biden official portrait crop.jpg|Democratic
File:Palin In Carson City On 13 September 2008.jpg|Republican
</gallery>
{{TOC right}}
Line 407:
|Not reported
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/20080412061506/http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/alaska/election_2008_alaska_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research]
|July 17 |44%
|{{party shading/Republican}}|'''49%'''
Line 776 ⟶ 777:
!Poll Source
!Date administered (2008)
!Barack
!John
!Margin
!Sample size
Line 1,700 ⟶ 1,701:
|±4.5%
|-
|[https://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/541 New Leadership USA/TargetPoint (R)] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210112120739/https://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/541 |date=2021-01-12 }}
|March 31–April 7
|39%
Line 1,864 ⟶ 1,865:
|±3.8%
|-
|[https://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/pulsar-research-2896 Pulsar Research] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210112225811/https://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/pulsar-research-2896 |date=2021-01-12 }}
|September 19–23
|'''49%'''
Line 2,066 ⟶ 2,067:
|±4.1%
|}
===District of Columbia===
'''3 electoral votes'''<br>(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)
Line 2,187 ⟶ 2,189:
|±3.5%
|-
|[https://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/fl-chamber-of-commerce-3993 Florida Chamber of Commerce] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210113222019/https://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/fl-chamber-of-commerce-3993 |date=2021-01-13 }}
|October 26–27
|'''45%'''
Line 3,043 ⟶ 3,045:
|±4.5%
|}
===Georgia===
'''15 electoral votes'''<br>(Republican in 2000 & 2004)
Line 3,252 ⟶ 3,255:
|October 27
|47%
|1%
|637 LV
|±3.8%
Line 3,261 ⟶ 3,264:
|September 16
|43%
|0%
|500 LV
|±4.5%
Line 3,270 ⟶ 3,273:
|September 9–11
|35%
|1%
|800 LV
|±3.5%
Line 3,279 ⟶ 3,282:
|August 14
|44%
|1%
|500 LV
|±4.5%
Line 3,288 ⟶ 3,291:
|July 17
|42%
|1%
|500 LV
|±4.5%
Line 3,297 ⟶ 3,300:
|July 2
|44%
|4%
|502 LV
|±4.3%
Line 3,306 ⟶ 3,309:
|June 26
|43%
|1%
|800 LV
|±4%
Line 3,315 ⟶ 3,318:
|June 18
|42.7%
|5.6%
|408 LV
|±5%
Line 3,324 ⟶ 3,327:
|May 20
|34.8%
|7.6%
|652 LV
|±3.6%
Line 3,345 ⟶ 3,348:
|October 16–19
|44%
|2%
|2%
|600 LV
|±4%
Line 3,355 ⟶ 3,358:
|June 11–30
|38%
|8%
|<1%
|1,472 LV
|±2.6%
Line 3,550 ⟶ 3,553:
|±4%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/20080714001607/http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/illinois/election_2008_illinois_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research]
|August 12 |'''55%'''
|40%
Line 4,039 ⟶ 4,043:
|±3.9%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/20080715162232/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/iowa/election_2008_iowa_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research]
|August 7 |{{party shading/Democratic}}|'''49%'''
|44%
Line 4,290 ⟶ 4,295:
|±3.9%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/20080723051335/http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/kansas/election_2008_kansas_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research]
|August 11 |41%
|'''55%'''
Line 4,377 ⟶ 4,383:
|±4.3%
|}
===Kentucky===
'''8 electoral votes'''<br>(Republican in 2000 & 2004)
Line 4,476 ⟶ 4,483:
|±3.9%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/20080630003030/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/kentucky/election_2008_kentucky_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research]
|July 29 |43%
|'''52%'''
Line 4,705 ⟶ 4,713:
|±4.8%
|}
===Maine===
'''4 electoral votes'''<br>(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)
Line 4,740 ⟶ 4,749:
|±3.8%
|-
|[https://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/market-decisions-3859 Market Decisions]{{Dead link|date=March 2024 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}
|October 13–26
|'''52%'''
Line 4,804 ⟶ 4,813:
|±4%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/20080724092039/http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/maine/election_2008_maine_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research]
|August 12 |'''53%'''
|39%
Line 5,093 ⟶ 5,103:
|±4%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/20080725060226/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/massachusetts/election_2008_massachusetts_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research]
|August 5 |'''54%'''
|38%
Line 5,313 ⟶ 5,324:
|Not reported
|-
|[https://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/selzer-and-co-4052 Detroit Free Press-Local 4/Selzer & Co.]{{Dead link|date=March 2024 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}
|October 28–31
|'''53%'''
Line 5,345 ⟶ 5,356:
|±4.5%
|-
|[https://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/epic-mra-3972 Detroit News/EPIC-MRA]{{Dead link|date=March 2024 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}
|October 26–28
|'''50%'''
Line 5,377 ⟶ 5,388:
|±4.5%
|-
|[https://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/mirs-denno-noor-rossman-3079 MIRS/Denno-Noor Research/The Rossman Group]{{Dead link|date=March 2024 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}
|October 1–4
|'''44%'''
Line 5,697 ⟶ 5,708:
!Margin of error
|-
|[https://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/epic-mra-3651 Detroit News/EPIC-MRA]{{Dead link|date=March 2024 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}
|October 19–20
|'''51%'''
Line 5,801 ⟶ 5,812:
|±4.5%
|}
===Minnesota===
'''10 electoral votes'''<br>(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)
Line 6,036 ⟶ 6,048:
|±3.8%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/20080725060408/http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/minnesota/election_2008_minnesota_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research]
|August 13 |'''49%'''
|45%
Line 6,303 ⟶ 6,316:
|±4%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/20080530010242/http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/mississippi/election_2008_mississippi_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research]
|August 21 |43%
|'''56%'''
Line 7,273 ⟶ 7,287:
|±4%
|-
|[https://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/project-new-west-d-2759 Project New West/Myers Research/Grove Insight (D)] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210124155629/https://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/project-new-west-d-2759 |date=2021-01-24 }}
|September 14–19
|'''47%'''
Line 7,329 ⟶ 7,343:
|±5%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/20080624042403/http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/nevada/election_2008_nevada_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research]
|August 11 |45%
|'''48%'''
Line 7,392 ⟶ 7,407:
|±4%
|-
|[https://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/483 Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research]{{Dead link|date=March 2024 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}
|February 12
|'''50%'''
Line 7,512 ⟶ 7,527:
|±3.9%
|}
===New Hampshire===
'''4 electoral votes'''<br>(Republican in 2000)<br>(Democrat in 2004)
Line 7,731 ⟶ 7,747:
|±4%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/20080726022356/http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/new_hampshire/election_2008_new_hampshire_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research]
|August 18 |'''47%'''
|46%
Line 8,262 ⟶ 8,279:
|±2.9%
|}
===New Mexico===
'''5 electoral votes'''<br>(Democrat in 2000)<br>(Republican in 2004)
Line 8,297 ⟶ 8,315:
|±2.5%
|-
|[https://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/albuquerque-journal-4065 Albuquerque Journal/Research & Polling Inc.]{{Dead link|date=March 2024 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}
|October 28–30
|'''51%'''
Line 8,433 ⟶ 8,451:
|±5%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/20080701064631/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/new_mexico/election_2008_new_mexico_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research]
|July 24 |'''49%'''
|43%
Line 8,720 ⟶ 8,739:
|±3.8%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|September 14–16
|'''55%'''
Line 8,728 ⟶ 8,747:
|±4%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|September 15
|'''55%'''
Line 8,736 ⟶ 8,755:
|±4.5%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|September 8–10
|'''46%'''
Line 8,744 ⟶ 8,763:
|±3.9%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|August 11–14
|'''47%'''
Line 8,768 ⟶ 8,787:
|±2.7%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|July 7–10
|'''50%'''
Line 8,792 ⟶ 8,811:
|±4.3%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|June 9–11
|'''51%'''
Line 8,800 ⟶ 8,819:
|±3.9%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|June 6–11
|'''51%'''
Line 8,824 ⟶ 8,843:
|±4%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|May 16–18
|'''48%'''
Line 8,832 ⟶ 8,851:
|±4.1%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|May 12–15
|'''49%'''
Line 8,840 ⟶ 8,859:
|±3.9%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|April 29
|'''52%'''
Line 8,848 ⟶ 8,867:
|±4.5%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|April 13–16
|'''45%'''
Line 8,856 ⟶ 8,875:
|±3.9%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|April 11–13
|'''52%'''
Line 8,864 ⟶ 8,883:
|±4.5%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|April 3–4
|46%
Line 8,880 ⟶ 8,899:
|±2.5%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|March 14–16
|'''52%'''
Line 8,904 ⟶ 8,923:
|±4.1%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|February 15–17
|'''57%'''
Line 8,912 ⟶ 8,931:
|±4.3%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|February 11–14
|'''47%'''
Line 8,920 ⟶ 8,939:
|±3.9%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|January 20–21
|'''49%'''
Line 8,928 ⟶ 8,947:
|±4.4%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|January 14–17
|'''44%'''
Line 8,936 ⟶ 8,955:
|±3.9%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|December 13–15, 2007
|'''47%'''
Line 8,944 ⟶ 8,963:
|±4.5%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|November 9–11, 2007
|'''49%'''
Line 8,960 ⟶ 8,979:
|±2.5%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|June 18–21, 2007
|'''49%'''
Line 8,976 ⟶ 8,995:
|±2.7%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|May 18–25, 2007
|'''50%'''
Line 8,992 ⟶ 9,011:
|Not reported
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|April 4–7, 2007
|'''50%'''
Line 9,060 ⟶ 9,079:
!Margin of error
|-
|[https://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/siena-2144 Siena College] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210128194012/https://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/siena-2144 |date=2021-01-28 }}
|July 17–29
|'''44%'''
Line 9,080 ⟶ 9,099:
|±1.7%
|}
===North Carolina===
'''15 electoral votes'''<br>(Republican in 2000 & 2004)
Line 9,091 ⟶ 9,111:
!Margin of error
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|October 31–November 3
|'''49%'''
Line 9,107 ⟶ 9,127:
|±4.1%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|October 31–November 2
|48%
Line 9,139 ⟶ 9,159:
|±3%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|October 29
|'''48%'''
Line 9,147 ⟶ 9,167:
|±3.7%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|October 28–29
|46%
Line 9,155 ⟶ 9,175:
|±4%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|October 23–28
|'''52%'''
Line 9,179 ⟶ 9,199:
|±4.1%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|October 22–26
|'''48%'''
Line 9,219 ⟶ 9,239:
|±4%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|October 18–20
|'''47%'''
Line 9,243 ⟶ 9,263:
|±3.6%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|September 28–October 19
|'''44.6%'''
Line 9,291 ⟶ 9,311:
|±4%
|-
|[https://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/10/07/cnn-polls-new-obama-gains-in-battleground-states/#more-23059 CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210224050024/https://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/10/07/cnn-polls-new-obama-gains-in-battleground-states/#more-23059 |date=2021-02-24 }}
|October 3–6
|'''49%'''
Line 9,307 ⟶ 9,327:
|±4%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|September 27–29
|46%
Line 9,331 ⟶ 9,351:
|±4.5%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|September 15–16
|35%
Line 9,347 ⟶ 9,367:
|±3.5%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|September 13–16
|41%
Line 9,371 ⟶ 9,391:
|±3.8%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|September 5–7
|46%
Line 9,419 ⟶ 9,439:
|±4.5%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|May 17–19
|43%
Line 9,435 ⟶ 9,455:
|±3.7%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|May 8–9
|42%
Line 9,443 ⟶ 9,463:
|±4.0%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|May 8
|45%
Line 9,451 ⟶ 9,471:
|±4.5%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|April 10
|'''47%'''
Line 9,467 ⟶ 9,487:
|±3.7%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|March 20
|42%
Line 9,483 ⟶ 9,503:
|±4%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|February 19–22
|36%
Line 9,491 ⟶ 9,511:
|±3.7%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|February 18
|42%
Line 9,499 ⟶ 9,519:
|±3.7%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|January 21
|38%
Line 9,507 ⟶ 9,527:
|±3.6%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|June 19, 2007
|44%
Line 9,526 ⟶ 9,546:
!Margin of error
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/20091102085439/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/north_carolina/mccain_hangs_on_by_one_in_north_carolina Fox News/Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research]
|November 2 |49%
|'''50%'''
Line 9,534 ⟶ 9,555:
|±3%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|October 30–November 2
|'''50%'''
Line 9,543 ⟶ 9,564:
|±2.1%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|October 27–29
|'''47%'''
Line 9,552 ⟶ 9,573:
|±4.2%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|October 23–28
|'''52%'''
Line 9,570 ⟶ 9,591:
|±3%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|October 25–26
|'''49%'''
Line 9,624 ⟶ 9,645:
|±3%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|October 11–12
|'''49%'''
Line 9,678 ⟶ 9,699:
|±3.0%
|-
|[https://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/civitas-institute-r-2430 Civitas Institute/Tel Opinion Research]{{Dead link|date=March 2024 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}
|September 6–10
|44%
Line 9,687 ⟶ 9,708:
|±4.2%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|September 9
|44%
Line 9,696 ⟶ 9,717:
|±3.9%
|-
|[https://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/democracy-corps-d-2354 Democracy Corps/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D)]{{Dead link|date=March 2024 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}
|August 20–26
|44%
Line 9,759 ⟶ 9,780:
|±4%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|May 28–29
|40%
Line 9,780 ⟶ 9,801:
!Margin of error
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|October 22–26
|'''48%'''
Line 9,790 ⟶ 9,811:
|±4.0%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|August 19
|42.8%
Line 9,820 ⟶ 9,841:
|±2.7%
|}
===North Dakota===
'''3 electoral votes'''<br>(Republican in 2000 & 2004)
Line 9,855 ⟶ 9,877:
|±4%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|September 15–17
|43%
Line 9,871 ⟶ 9,893:
|±4.5%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|August 23–27
|'''43%'''
Line 9,887 ⟶ 9,909:
|±4.5%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|March 24–April 3
|38%
Line 9,903 ⟶ 9,925:
|±4.2%
|}
===Ohio===
'''20 electoral votes'''<br>(Republican in 2000 & 2004)
Line 9,922 ⟶ 9,945:
|±4.1%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|October 31–November 2
|'''50%'''
Line 9,930 ⟶ 9,953:
|±2.8%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|October 30–November 2
|'''48%'''
Line 9,954 ⟶ 9,977:
|Not reported
|-
|[https://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/columbus-dispatch-4049 Columbus Dispatch] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210131023836/https://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/columbus-dispatch-4049 |date=2021-01-31 }}
|October 22–31
|'''52%'''
Line 9,962 ⟶ 9,985:
|±2%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|October 28–29
|45%
Line 9,970 ⟶ 9,993:
|±4%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|October 23–28
|'''51%'''
Line 9,978 ⟶ 10,001:
|±3.5%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|October 26–27
|'''49%'''
Line 10,034 ⟶ 10,057:
|±4.0%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|October 22–23
|'''51%'''
Line 10,042 ⟶ 10,065:
|±3.1%
|-
|[https://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/ohio-university-4040 Ohio University] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210129045225/https://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/ohio-university-4040 |date=2021-01-29 }}
|October 12–23
|'''57%'''
Line 10,114 ⟶ 10,137:
|±4%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|October 12–13
|'''50%'''
Line 10,146 ⟶ 10,169:
|±3.5%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|October 4–7
|'''48%'''
Line 10,154 ⟶ 10,177:
|±4%
|-
|[https://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/10/07/cnn-polls-new-obama-gains-in-battleground-states/#more-23059 CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210224050024/https://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/10/07/cnn-polls-new-obama-gains-in-battleground-states/#more-23059 |date=2021-02-24 }}
|October 3–6
|'''50%'''
Line 10,162 ⟶ 10,185:
|±3.5%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|October 4–5
|'''49%'''
Line 10,178 ⟶ 10,201:
|±3.5%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|September 24–October 3
|'''49%'''
Line 10,186 ⟶ 10,209:
|±2%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|September 29
|'''47%'''
Line 10,226 ⟶ 10,249:
|±4%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|September 22
|'''46%'''
Line 10,234 ⟶ 10,257:
|±4.1%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|September 14–17
|'''45.6%'''
Line 10,258 ⟶ 10,281:
|±4.9%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|September 11–15
|'''47%'''
Line 10,266 ⟶ 10,289:
|±4.5%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|September 13–14
|44%
Line 10,274 ⟶ 10,297:
|±3.0%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|September 12–14
|45%
Line 10,282 ⟶ 10,305:
|±3.8%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|September 10–13
|44%
Line 10,306 ⟶ 10,329:
|±4.3%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|September 5–10
|44%
Line 10,354 ⟶ 10,377:
|±3.6%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|August 12–14
|'''45%'''
Line 10,370 ⟶ 10,393:
|±2.8%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|July 21
|42%
Line 10,378 ⟶ 10,401:
|±4.5%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|July 17–20
|'''48%'''
Line 10,386 ⟶ 10,409:
|±3.0%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|June 20–22
|'''48%'''
Line 10,394 ⟶ 10,417:
|±4.2%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|June 17
|43%
Line 10,410 ⟶ 10,433:
|±2.6%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|June 14–15
|'''50%'''
Line 10,426 ⟶ 10,449:
|±2.8%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|May 16–18
|'''48%'''
Line 10,434 ⟶ 10,457:
|±4.1%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|May 15
|44%
Line 10,450 ⟶ 10,473:
|±2.9%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|April 11–13
|45%
Line 10,458 ⟶ 10,481:
|±4.4%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|April 8
|40%
Line 10,474 ⟶ 10,497:
|±2.8%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|March 15–17
|41%
Line 10,482 ⟶ 10,505:
|±3.9%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|March 14–16
|43%
Line 10,498 ⟶ 10,521:
|±4.5%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|February 26–28
|'''50%'''
Line 10,506 ⟶ 10,529:
|±4%
|-
|[https://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/university-of-cincinnati-741 University of Cincinnati]{{Dead link|date=March 2024 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}
|February 21–24
|'''48%'''
Line 10,522 ⟶ 10,545:
|±4.5%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|February 15–17
|'''47%'''
Line 10,538 ⟶ 10,561:
|±2.3%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|January 4–6
|43%
Line 10,546 ⟶ 10,569:
|±4.3%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|January 4
|42%
Line 10,554 ⟶ 10,577:
|±3.1%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|December 13–15, 2007
|38%
Line 10,562 ⟶ 10,585:
|±4.3%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|December 3, 2007
|40%
Line 10,716 ⟶ 10,739:
|±3.3%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|August 12–21
|41%
Line 10,759 ⟶ 10,782:
!Margin of error
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|November 2
|'''49%'''
Line 10,770 ⟶ 10,793:
|±3%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|October 23–28
|'''50%'''
Line 10,962 ⟶ 10,985:
|±4.0%
|}
===Oklahoma===
'''7 electoral votes'''<br>(Republican in 2000 & 2004)
Line 11,183 ⟶ 11,207:
|±2.6%
|-
|[https://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/moore-information-r-3854 Moore Information] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210130162018/https://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/moore-information-r-3854 |date=2021-01-30 }}
|October 27–28
|'''51%'''
Line 11,463 ⟶ 11,487:
!Margin of error
|-
|[https://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/grove-insight-d-3489 Grove Insight (D)] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210130103047/https://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/grove-insight-d-3489 |date=2021-01-30 }}
|October 7–9
|'''52%'''
Line 11,493 ⟶ 11,517:
|±3.5%
|}
===Pennsylvania===
'''21 electoral votes'''<br>(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)
Line 11,576 ⟶ 11,601:
|±4.5%
|-
|[https://www.muhlenberg.edu/media/contentassets/pdf/about/polling/release_11_02.pdf Morning Call/Muhlenberg College] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210831161809/https://www.muhlenberg.edu/media/contentassets/pdf/about/polling/release_11_02.pdf |date=2021-08-31 }}
|October 26–30
|'''53%'''
Line 11,656 ⟶ 11,681:
|±3.6%
|-
|[https://www.muhlenberg.edu/media/contentassets/pdf/about/polling/release_10_26.pdf Morning Call/Muhlenberg College (Daily Tracking)] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210831161842/https://www.muhlenberg.edu/media/contentassets/pdf/about/polling/release_10_26.pdf |date=2021-08-31 }}
|October 21–25
|'''53%'''
Line 11,688 ⟶ 11,713:
|±2.6%
|-
|[https://www.muhlenberg.edu/media/contentassets/pdf/about/polling/release_10_26.pdf Morning Call/Muhlenberg College (Daily Tracking)] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210831161842/https://www.muhlenberg.edu/media/contentassets/pdf/about/polling/release_10_26.pdf |date=2021-08-31 }}
|October 16–20
|'''52%'''
Line 11,712 ⟶ 11,737:
|±3.7%
|-
|[https://www.muhlenberg.edu/media/contentassets/pdf/about/polling/release_10_26.pdf Morning Call/Muhlenberg College (Daily Tracking)] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210831161842/https://www.muhlenberg.edu/media/contentassets/pdf/about/polling/release_10_26.pdf |date=2021-08-31 }}
|October 11–15
|'''53%'''
Line 11,736 ⟶ 11,761:
|±3.7%
|-
|[https://www.muhlenberg.edu/media/contentassets/pdf/about/polling/release_10_26.pdf Morning Call/Muhlenberg College (Daily Tracking)] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210831161842/https://www.muhlenberg.edu/media/contentassets/pdf/about/polling/release_10_26.pdf |date=2021-08-31 }}
|October 6–10
|'''52%'''
Line 11,776 ⟶ 11,801:
|Not reported
|-
|[https://www.muhlenberg.edu/media/contentassets/pdf/about/polling/pa_tracking_release_10_06.pdf Morning Call/Muhlenberg College (Daily Tracking)] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210831161836/https://www.muhlenberg.edu/media/contentassets/pdf/about/polling/pa_tracking_release_10_06.pdf |date=2021-08-31 }}
|October 1–5
|'''49%'''
Line 11,784 ⟶ 11,809:
|±4.0%
|-
|[https://www.muhlenberg.edu/media/contentassets/pdf/about/polling/release_10_01.pdf Morning Call/Muhlenberg College (Daily Tracking)] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210831161827/https://www.muhlenberg.edu/media/contentassets/pdf/about/polling/release_10_01.pdf |date=2021-08-31 }}
|September 26–30
|'''48%'''
Line 11,840 ⟶ 11,865:
|±3%
|-
|[https://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/09/24/polls-in-battleground-states-show-obama-gaining-ground/ CNN/Time/Opinion Research Group] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210126111356/https://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/09/24/polls-in-battleground-states-show-obama-gaining-ground/ |date=2021-01-26 }}
|September 21–23
|'''53%'''
Line 12,009 ⟶ 12,034:
|-
|[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/RCP_PDF/Susq-PA-Statewide-May08.pdf Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.]
|May
|'''46%'''
|39%
Line 12,569 ⟶ 12,594:
|±4.0%
|}
===South Dakota===
'''3 electoral votes'''<br>(Republican in 2000 & 2004)
Line 12,806 ⟶ 12,832:
|±3.2%
|}
===Texas===
'''34 electoral votes'''<br>(Republican in 2000 & 2004)
Line 12,857 ⟶ 12,884:
|±4%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/20080701071208/http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/texas/election_2008_texas_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research]
|August 21 |44%
|'''54%'''
Line 13,162 ⟶ 13,190:
|Not reported
|-
|[https://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/rasmussen-3193 Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210213015630/https://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/rasmussen-3193 |date=2021-02-13 }}
|October 6
|'''65%'''
Line 13,194 ⟶ 13,222:
|±3.9%
|}
===Virginia===
'''13 electoral votes'''<br>(Republican in 2000 & 2004)
Line 13,253 ⟶ 13,282:
|±4%
|-
|[https://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/10/29/poll-obama-surges-in-colorado-makes-gains-on-electoral-map/#more-27172 CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210121222134/https://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/10/29/poll-obama-surges-in-colorado-makes-gains-on-electoral-map/#more-27172 |date=2021-01-21 }}
|October 23–28
|'''53%'''
Line 13,501 ⟶ 13,530:
|±4.9%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|September 13–14
|'''48%'''
Line 13,517 ⟶ 13,546:
|±3.7%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|September 10–14
|39%
Line 13,533 ⟶ 13,562:
|±3.8%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|September 7–9
|46%
Line 13,549 ⟶ 13,578:
|±3.7%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|August 20–22
|'''47%'''
Line 13,581 ⟶ 13,610:
|±3.9%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|July 17–20
|'''46%'''
Line 13,597 ⟶ 13,626:
|±4.5%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|June 20–22
|'''49%'''
Line 13,605 ⟶ 13,634:
|±4%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|June 14–16
|'''47%'''
Line 13,621 ⟶ 13,650:
|±4.5%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|May 16–18
|'''49%'''
Line 13,629 ⟶ 13,658:
|±4.1%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|May 12–18
|39%
Line 13,637 ⟶ 13,666:
|±4%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|May 8
|44%
Line 13,645 ⟶ 13,674:
|±4.5%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|April 11–13
|44%
Line 13,661 ⟶ 13,690:
|±4.5%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|March 14–16
|'''48%'''
Line 13,685 ⟶ 13,714:
|±4.5%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|February 15–17
|'''51%'''
Line 13,693 ⟶ 13,722:
|±4.2%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|January 16–17
|40%
Line 13,701 ⟶ 13,730:
|±4.3%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|January 3
|43%
Line 13,717 ⟶ 13,746:
|±4.3%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|November 9–11, 2007
|41%
Line 14,032 ⟶ 14,061:
|±3.8%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|September 16–18
|'''50%'''
Line 14,080 ⟶ 14,109:
|±4.5%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|July 27–31
|'''47%'''
Line 14,112 ⟶ 14,141:
|±4.5%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|June 26
|'''47%'''
Line 14,136 ⟶ 14,165:
|±4.5%
|-
|[https://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/surveyusa-1782 KATU-TV Portland/KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210204181217/https://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/surveyusa-1782 |date=2021-02-04 }}
|June 7–9
|'''56%'''
Line 14,160 ⟶ 14,189:
|±4.1%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|May 12
|'''54%'''
Line 14,168 ⟶ 14,197:
|±3.9%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|May 12
|'''51%'''
Line 14,184 ⟶ 14,213:
|±4%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|April 7
|'''51%'''
Line 14,208 ⟶ 14,237:
|Not reported
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|March 14–16
|'''52%'''
Line 14,232 ⟶ 14,261:
|±4%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|February 3–4
|'''55%'''
Line 14,256 ⟶ 14,285:
|±4.4%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|November 9–11, 2007
|45%
Line 14,442 ⟶ 14,471:
|±4
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|September 14–16
|45%
Line 14,450 ⟶ 14,479:
|±4%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|September 5–8
|39%
Line 14,458 ⟶ 14,487:
|±4.7%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|June 2
|35%
Line 14,620 ⟶ 14,649:
|±3.9%
|-
|[https://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/10/07/cnn-polls-new-obama-gains-in-battleground-states/#more-23059 CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210224050024/https://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/10/07/cnn-polls-new-obama-gains-in-battleground-states/#more-23059 |date=2021-02-24 }}
|October 3–6
|'''51%'''
Line 14,628 ⟶ 14,657:
|±3.5%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|September 18–21
|'''50%'''
Line 14,644 ⟶ 14,673:
|±2.7%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|September 14–17
|'''45.2%'''
Line 14,660 ⟶ 14,689:
|±3%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|September 15
|'''48%'''
Line 14,668 ⟶ 14,697:
|±4%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|August 5
|'''51%'''
Line 14,692 ⟶ 14,721:
|±3%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|July 8
|'''50%'''
Line 14,716 ⟶ 14,745:
|±4.3%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|June 8–10
|'''50%'''
Line 14,724 ⟶ 14,753:
|±4.5%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|June 5
|'''45%'''
Line 14,740 ⟶ 14,769:
|±4.1%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|May 5
|43%
Line 14,748 ⟶ 14,777:
|±4.5%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|April 15–24
|'''47%'''
Line 14,764 ⟶ 14,793:
|±4.3%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|March 25–April 5
|'''46%'''
Line 14,772 ⟶ 14,801:
|±5%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|March 26
|46%
Line 14,788 ⟶ 14,817:
|±4.4%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|February 26–28
|'''51%'''
Line 14,828 ⟶ 14,857:
|±4.3%
|-
|[https://web.archive.org/web/
|November 9–11, 2007
|43%
Line 14,882 ⟶ 14,911:
|±3.4%
|}
===Wyoming===
'''3 electoral votes'''<br>(Republican in 2000 & 2004)
Line 14,940 ⟶ 14,970:
*[[Statewide opinion polling for the Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2008]]
*[[Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primaries, 2008]]
==Election Day projection==
[[File:Current 2008 US Electoral College Polling Map.PNG|800px]]
|