Content deleted Content added
→Electoral College forecasts: update 538 forecast for AZ (rating was changed 7/10) |
→Democratic Party: status hasn't changed |
||
Line 271:
Author [[Marianne Williamson]] announced her candidacy in February 2023, before Biden announced his own candidacy for re-election. Williamson had previously sought the Democratic presidential nomination in 2020.<ref name="APMarianne">{{cite web |last1=Weissert |first1=Will |title=Williamson becomes Democratic primary's 1st Biden challenger |url=https://apnews.com/article/biden-politics-united-states-government-district-of-columbia-2022-midterm-elections-c843d838db17e2a48a1e01c7abcfd5d4 |work=Associated Press News |access-date=October 24, 2023 |language=en |date=February 27, 2023 |archive-date=October 26, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231026001131/https://apnews.com/article/biden-politics-united-states-government-district-of-columbia-2022-midterm-elections-c843d838db17e2a48a1e01c7abcfd5d4 |url-status=live }}</ref> In April 2023, [[Robert F. Kennedy Jr.]] announced his candidacy for the nomination.<ref>{{cite web |last1=McDuffie |first1=McDuffie |last2=Murray |first2=Isabella |title=Robert F. Kennedy Jr. launches long shot presidential bid as a Democrat |url=https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/robert-kennedy-jr-launches-long-shot-presidential-bid/story?id=98691944 |website=ABC News |access-date=October 24, 2023 |language=en |date=April 20, 2023 |archive-date=October 23, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231023230953/https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/robert-kennedy-jr-launches-long-shot-presidential-bid/story?id=98691944 |url-status=live }}</ref> On October 9, 2023, Kennedy announced that he would be dropping out of the Democratic primary and would instead run as an independent candidate.<ref>{{Cite web|last=Davis O'Brien|first=Rebecca|date=October 9, 2023|title=Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to Run for President as Independent, Leaving Democratic Primary|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/09/us/politics/robert-f-kennedy-jr-independent.html|access-date=October 9, 2023|website=The New York Times|language=en-US|archive-date=October 9, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231009165734/https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/09/us/politics/robert-f-kennedy-jr-independent.html|url-status=live}}</ref> Representative [[Dean Phillips]] announced his run against Biden on October 26.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.politico.com/news/2023/10/26/rep-dean-phillips-files-paperwork-for-presidential-bid-against-biden-00123923|title=Rep. Dean Phillips files paperwork for presidential bid against Biden|work=[[Politico]]|last1=Otterbein|first1=Holly|last2=Schneider|first2=Elena|date=October 26, 2023|access-date=October 26, 2023|archive-date=October 27, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231027040351/https://www.politico.com/news/2023/10/26/rep-dean-phillips-files-paperwork-for-presidential-bid-against-biden-00123923|url-status=live}}</ref> Venture capitalist [[Jason Palmer (politician)|Jason Palmer]] announced his campaign on October 22.<ref>{{Cite web|title=Statement of Candidacy|url=https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/P40016024/1733427/|website=docquery.fec.gov|access-date=June 5, 2024|archive-date=February 20, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240220223824/https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/P40016024/1733427/|url-status=live}}</ref>
Williamson announced her initial withdrawal on February 7, 2024,<ref>{{cite news |last1=Gibson |first1=Brittany |title=Marianne Williamson ends her 2024 presidential run |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2024/02/07/marianne-williamson-drops-out-2024-00140297 |access-date=February 7, 2024 |work=[[Politico]] |date=February 7, 2024 |archive-date=February 8, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240208030843/https://www.politico.com/news/2024/02/07/marianne-williamson-drops-out-2024-00140297 |url-status=live }}</ref> though she resumed her campaign a few weeks later.<ref>{{cite news |title=Williamson restarts campaign after 3% in Michigan primary vote |url=https://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2024/02/28/Williamson-resumes-suspended-presidential-campaign/4721709132307 |agency=[[United Press International]] |date=February 28, 2024 |accessdate=March 6, 2024 |archive-date=March 6, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240306221157/https://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2024/02/28/Williamson-resumes-suspended-presidential-campaign/4721709132307/ |url-status=live }}</ref> On March 6, 2024, Philips suspended his campaign after failing to win any primaries the previous night on [[2024 Super Tuesday|Super Tuesday]],<ref name="nbcmarch6">{{Cite web |date=March 6, 2024 |title=Dean Phillips ends presidential campaign and endorses Biden |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/dean-phillips-ends-presidential-campaign-rcna142091 |access-date=March 6, 2024 |publisher=NBC News |language=en |author1=Shabad, Rebecca |author2=Egwuonwu, Nnamdi |archive-date=March 8, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240308211011/https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/dean-phillips-ends-presidential-campaign-rcna142091 |url-status=live }}</ref> followed by Williamson on June 11.<ref>{{cite news |title=Marianne Williamson signals end of 2024 bid now that presidential primaries have ended |first=Isabella |last=Murray |work=[[ABC News (United States)|ABC News]] |date=June 12, 2024 |access-date=June 14, 2024 |url=https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/marianne-williamson-signals-end-2024-bid-now-presidential/story?id=111054784 |archive-date=June 13, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240613234505/https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/marianne-williamson-signals-end-2024-bid-now-presidential/story?id=111054784 |url-status=live }}</ref> Despite being perceived as a minor candidate, Palmer won the [[2024 American Samoa Democratic presidential caucuses|American Samoa caucuses]], making him the first candidate to win a contested primary against an incumbent president since [[Ted Kennedy]] in [[1980 Democratic presidential primaries|1980]].<ref>{{Cite web |last=Bickerton |first=James |date=March 6, 2024 |title=Joe Biden is first incumbent president to lose a primary in 44 years |url=https://www.newsweek.com/joe-biden-loses-primary-jason-palmer-american-samoa-jimmy-carter-1876315 |access-date=March 6, 2024 |website=Newsweek |archive-date=March 6, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240306090537/https://www.newsweek.com/joe-biden-loses-primary-jason-palmer-american-samoa-jimmy-carter-1876315 |url-status=live }}</ref> He won no other contests and suspended his candidacy on May 15, 2024.<ref>{{Cite web|last=Pipia|first=Lindsey|title=American Samoa primary victor Jason Palmer bows out of the presidential race|url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/american-samoa-primary-victor-jason-palmer-bows-presidential-race-rcna152509|date=May 15, 2024|access-date=June 5, 2024|publisher=NBC News|archive-date=June 5, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240605075226/https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/american-samoa-primary-victor-jason-palmer-bows-presidential-race-rcna152509|url-status=live}}</ref> On March 12, 2024, Biden obtained a majority of delegates, and
===Democratic presumptive nominee ===
| |||