2023 Ceuta Assembly election: Difference between revisions
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{{Short description|Spanish municipal election}} |
{{Short description|Spanish municipal election}} |
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{{current election}} |
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{{Infobox election |
{{Infobox election |
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| election_name = 2023 Ceuta Assembly election |
| election_name = 2023 Ceuta Assembly election |
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Line 15: | Line 14: | ||
| majority_seats = 13 |
| majority_seats = 13 |
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| opinion_polls = |
| opinion_polls = |
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| registered = 63, |
| registered = 63,301 [[File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg|10px]]1.2% |
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| turnout = 34, |
| turnout = 34,685 (54.8%)<br/>[[File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg|10px]]0.3 [[Percentage point|pp]] |
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| election_date = 28 May 2023 |
| election_date = 28 May 2023 |
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Line 27: | Line 26: | ||
| seats1 = 9 |
| seats1 = 9 |
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| seat_change1 = [[File:Arrow Blue Right 001.svg|10px]]0 |
| seat_change1 = [[File:Arrow Blue Right 001.svg|10px]]0 |
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| popular_vote1 = 11, |
| popular_vote1 = 11,774 |
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| percentage1 = 34. |
| percentage1 = 34.3% |
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| swing1 = [[File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg|10px]]3. |
| swing1 = [[File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg|10px]]3.2 [[Percentage point|pp]] |
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<!-- PSOE --> |
<!-- PSOE --> |
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Line 39: | Line 38: | ||
| seats2 = 6 |
| seats2 = 6 |
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| seat_change2 = [[File:Red Arrow Down.svg|10px]]1 |
| seat_change2 = [[File:Red Arrow Down.svg|10px]]1 |
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| popular_vote2 = 7, |
| popular_vote2 = 7,198 |
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| percentage2 = 21.0% |
| percentage2 = 21.0% |
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| swing2 = [[File:Red Arrow Down.svg|10px]]4.6 [[Percentage point|pp]] |
| swing2 = [[File:Red Arrow Down.svg|10px]]4.6 [[Percentage point|pp]] |
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| seats3 = 5 |
| seats3 = 5 |
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| seat_change3 = [[File:Red Arrow Down.svg|10px]]1 |
| seat_change3 = [[File:Red Arrow Down.svg|10px]]1 |
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| popular_vote3 = 7, |
| popular_vote3 = 7,073 |
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| percentage3 = 20.6% |
| percentage3 = 20.6% |
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| swing3 = [[File:Red Arrow Down.svg|10px]]1.8 [[Percentage point|pp]] |
| swing3 = [[File:Red Arrow Down.svg|10px]]1.8 [[Percentage point|pp]] |
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Line 63: | Line 62: | ||
| seats4 = 3 |
| seats4 = 3 |
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| seat_change4 = [[File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg|10px]]1 |
| seat_change4 = [[File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg|10px]]1 |
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| popular_vote4 = 3, |
| popular_vote4 = 3,848 |
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| percentage4 = 11.2% |
| percentage4 = 11.2% |
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| swing4 = [[File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg|10px]]4.2 [[Percentage point|pp]] |
| swing4 = [[File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg|10px]]4.2 [[Percentage point|pp]] |
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| seats5 = 2 |
| seats5 = 2 |
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| seat_change5 = [[File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg|10px]]1 |
| seat_change5 = [[File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg|10px]]1 |
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| popular_vote5 = 3, |
| popular_vote5 = 3,442 |
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| percentage5 = 10.0% |
| percentage5 = 10.0% |
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| swing5 = [[File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg|10px]]3.8 [[Percentage point|pp]] |
| swing5 = [[File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg|10px]]3.8 [[Percentage point|pp]] |
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| before_election = [[Juan Jesús Vivas]] |
| before_election = [[Juan Jesús Vivas]] |
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| before_party = People's Party (Spain) |
| before_party = People's Party (Spain) |
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| after_election = [[Juan Jesús Vivas]] |
| after_election = [[Juan Jesús Vivas]] |
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| after_party = People's Party (Spain) |
| after_party = People's Party (Spain) |
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}} |
}} |
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The '''2023 Ceuta Assembly election''' |
The '''2023 Ceuta Assembly election''' was held on Sunday, 28 May 2023, to elect the 8th [[Assembly of Ceuta|Assembly]] of the [[Autonomous communities of Spain#Autonomous cities|autonomous city]] of [[Ceuta]]. All 25 seats in the Assembly were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with [[2023 Spanish regional elections|regional elections]] in twelve [[Autonomous communities of Spain|autonomous communities]] and [[2023 Spanish local elections|local elections]] all throughout [[Spain]]. |
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==Electoral system== |
==Electoral system== |
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The [[Assembly of Ceuta]] |
The [[Assembly of Ceuta]] was the top-tier administrative and governing body of the [[Autonomous communities of Spain#Autonomous cities|autonomous city]] of [[Ceuta]].<ref name="CeuSoA">{{cite act |title=Ley Orgánica 1/1995, de 13 de marzo, de Estatuto de Autonomía de Ceuta |type=Law |number=1 |language=es |date=13 March 1995 |url=https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1995-6358&tn=1&p=19950314 |access-date=21 February 2020}}</ref> Voting for the Assembly was on the basis of [[universal suffrage]], which comprised all nationals over eighteen, registered and residing in the municipality of Ceuta and in full enjoyment of their political rights, as well as resident non-national [[Citizenship of the European Union|European citizens]] and those whose country of origin allowed Spanish nationals to vote in their own elections by virtue of a treaty.<ref name="SpaELaw">{{cite act |title=Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General |type=Organic Law |number=5 |language=es |date=19 June 1985 |url=https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1985-11672&tn=1&p=20221003 |access-date=8 April 2023}}</ref> |
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The 25 members of the Assembly of Ceuta |
The 25 members of the Assembly of Ceuta were elected using the [[D'Hondt method]] and a [[closed list]] [[proportional representation]], with a [[election threshold|threshold]] of five percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied.<ref name="CeuSoA"/><ref name="SpaELaw"/> |
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The Mayor-President |
The Mayor-President was indirectly elected by the plenary assembly. A legal clause required that mayoral candidates earned the vote of an absolute majority of councillors, or else the candidate of the most-voted party in the assembly was to be automatically appointed to the post. In the event of a tie, the appointee would be determined by lot.<ref name="CeuSoA"/> |
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The electoral law provides that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors are allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors are required to secure the signature of a determined amount of the electors registered in Ceuta. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called.<ref name="SpaELaw"/> |
The electoral law provides that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors are allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors are required to secure the signature of a determined amount of the electors registered in Ceuta. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called.<ref name="SpaELaw"/> |
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===Graphical summary=== |
===Graphical summary=== |
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{{wide image|OpinionPollingCeutaAssemblyElection2023.svg|750px|[[Local regression]] trend line of poll results from 26 May 2019 to |
{{wide image|OpinionPollingCeutaAssemblyElection2023.svg|750px|[[Local regression]] trend line of poll results from 26 May 2019 to 28 May 2023, with each line corresponding to a political party.}} |
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===Voting intention estimates=== |
===Voting intention estimates=== |
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The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 13 seats |
The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 13 seats were required for an [[absolute majority]] in the [[Assembly of Ceuta]]. |
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{| class="wikitable collapsible" style="text-align:center; font-size:95%; line-height:16px;" |
{| class="wikitable collapsible collapsed" style="text-align:center; font-size:95%; line-height:16px;" |
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|- style="height:42px; |
|- style="height:42px;" |
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! style="width:250px;" rowspan="2"| Polling firm/Commissioner |
! style="width:250px;" rowspan="2"| Polling firm/Commissioner |
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! style="width:125px;" rowspan="2"| Fieldwork date |
! style="width:125px;" rowspan="2"| Fieldwork date |
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Line 123: | Line 122: | ||
! style="width:30px;" rowspan="2"| Lead |
! style="width:30px;" rowspan="2"| Lead |
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|- |
|- |
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! style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}};"| |
! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}};"| |
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! style="background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party}};"| |
! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party}};"| |
||
! style="background:{{party color|Vox (political party)}};"| |
! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Vox (political party)}};"| |
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! style="background:{{party color|Movement for Dignity and Citizenship}};"| |
! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Movement for Dignity and Citizenship}};"| |
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! style="background:{{party color|Caballas Coalition}};"| |
! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Caballas Coalition}};"| |
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! style="background:{{party color|Citizens (Spanish political party)}};"| |
! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Citizens (Spanish political party)}};"| |
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! style="background:{{party color|Podemos (Spanish political party, 2022)}};"| |
! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Podemos (Spanish political party, 2022)}};"| |
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! style="background:{{party color|Ceuta Ya!}};"| |
! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Ceuta Ya!}};"| |
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! style="background:#3E8C8D;"| |
! style="color:inherit;background:#3E8C8D;"| |
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|- |
|- |
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| colspan="14" style="background:#A0A0A0"| |
| colspan="14" style="background:#A0A0A0"| |
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Line 138: | Line 137: | ||
| 28 May 2023 |
| 28 May 2023 |
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| {{N/A}} |
| {{N/A}} |
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| |
| 54.8 |
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| {{Party shading/PP}}| '''34. |
| {{Party shading/PP}}| '''34.3'''<br/>{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}} |
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| 21.0<br/>{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}} |
| 21.0<br/>{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}} |
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| 20.6<br/>{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}} |
| 20.6<br/>{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}} |
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Line 145: | Line 144: | ||
| {{efn|name="CY"|Within [[Ceuta Ya!|CY!]].}} |
| {{efn|name="CY"|Within [[Ceuta Ya!|CY!]].}} |
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| 0.7<br/>{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}} |
| 0.7<br/>{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}} |
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| 0. |
| 0.6<br/>{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}} |
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| 10.0<br/>{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}} |
| 10.0<br/>{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}} |
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| – |
| – |
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| style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 13. |
| style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 13.3 |
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|- |
|- |
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| colspan="14" style="background:#A0A0A0"| |
| colspan="14" style="background:#A0A0A0"| |
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Line 562: | Line 561: | ||
| 26 May 2019 |
| 26 May 2019 |
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| {{N/A}} |
| {{N/A}} |
||
| |
| 54.5 |
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| {{Party shading/PP}}| '''31.1'''<br/>{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}} |
| {{Party shading/PP}}| '''31.1'''<br/>{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}} |
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| 25.6<br/>{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}} |
| 25.6<br/>{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}} |
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Line 579: | Line 578: | ||
==Results== |
==Results== |
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{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:right;" |
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:right;" |
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|+ [[2019 Ceuta Assembly election#Results|←]] Summary of the 28 May 2023 [[Assembly of Ceuta]] election results |
|+ [[2019 Ceuta Assembly election#Results|←]] Summary of the 28 May 2023 [[Assembly of Ceuta]] election results → |
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|- |
|- |
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| colspan="7"| [[File:CeutaAssemblyDiagram2023.svg|center|315px]] |
| colspan="7"| [[File:CeutaAssemblyDiagram2023.svg|center|315px]] |
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|- |
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|- bgcolor="#E9E9E9" align="center" |
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! style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2" colspan="2" width="525"| Parties and alliances |
! style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2" colspan="2" width="525"| Parties and alliances |
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! colspan="3"| Popular vote |
! colspan="3"| Popular vote |
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! colspan="2"| Seats |
! colspan="2"| Seats |
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|- |
|||
|- bgcolor="#E9E9E9" align="center" |
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! width="75"| Votes |
! width="75"| Votes |
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! width="45"| % |
! width="45"| % |
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Line 593: | Line 592: | ||
! width="35"| +/− |
! width="35"| +/− |
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|- |
|- |
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| width="1" |
| width="1" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}"| |
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| align="left"| [[People's Party (Spain)|People's Party]] (PP) |
| align="left"| [[People's Party (Spain)|People's Party]] (PP) |
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| 11, |
| 11,774 || 34.34 || style="color:green;"| +3.22 |
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| '''9''' || ±0 |
| '''9''' || ±0 |
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|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party}}"| |
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| align="left"| [[Spanish Socialist Workers' Party]] (PSOE) |
| align="left"| [[Spanish Socialist Workers' Party]] (PSOE) |
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| 7, |
| 7,198 || 21.00 || style="color:red;"| –4.60 |
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| '''6''' || style="color:red;"| –1 |
| '''6''' || style="color:red;"| –1 |
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|- |
|- |
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| |
| style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Vox (political party)}}"| |
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| align="left"| [[Vox (political party)|Vox]] (Vox) |
| align="left"| [[Vox (political party)|Vox]] (Vox) |
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| 7, |
| 7,073 || 20.63 || style="color:red;"| –1.74 |
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| '''5''' || style="color:red;"| –1 |
| '''5''' || style="color:red;"| –1 |
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|- |
|- |
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| |
| style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Movement for Dignity and Citizenship}}"| |
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| align="left"| [[Movement for Dignity and Citizenship]] (MDyC) |
| align="left"| [[Movement for Dignity and Citizenship]] (MDyC) |
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| 3, |
| 3,848 || 11.22 || style="color:green;"| +4.26 |
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| '''3''' || style="color:green;"| +1 |
| '''3''' || style="color:green;"| +1 |
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|- |
|- |
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| |
| style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Ceuta Ya!}}"| |
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| align="left"| [[Ceuta Ya!|Ceuta Now!]] (Ceuta Ya!)<sup>1</sup> |
| align="left"| [[Ceuta Ya!|Ceuta Now!]] (Ceuta Ya!)<sup>1</sup> |
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| 3, |
| 3,442 || 10.04 || style="color:green;"| +3.82 |
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| '''2''' || style="color:green;"| +1 |
| '''2''' || style="color:green;"| +1 |
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|- |
|- |
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| colspan="7" bgcolor="#C0C0C0"| |
| colspan="7" bgcolor="#C0C0C0"| |
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|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Citizens (Spanish political party)}}"| |
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| align="left"| [[Citizens (Spanish political party)|Citizens–Party of the Citizenry]] (CS) |
| align="left"| [[Citizens (Spanish political party)|Citizens–Party of the Citizenry]] (CS) |
||
| |
| 239 || 0.70 || style="color:red;"| –3.84 |
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| 0 || ±0 |
| 0 || ±0 |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| |
| style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Podemos (Spanish political party, 2022)}}"| |
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| align="left"| [[Podemos (Spanish political party)|We Can]] (Podemos)<sup>2</sup> |
| align="left"| [[Podemos (Spanish political party)|We Can]] (Podemos)<sup>2</sup> |
||
| |
| 192 || 0.56 || style="color:red;"| –0.93 |
||
| 0 || ±0 |
| 0 || ±0 |
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|- |
|- |
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| style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Free (Spain)}}"| |
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| bgcolor="#002A5E"| |
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| align="left"| Free (LB) |
| align="left"| Free (LB) |
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| |
| 122 || 0.36 || ''New'' |
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| 0 || ±0 |
| 0 || ±0 |
||
|- |
|- |
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| align="left" colspan="2"| Blank ballots |
| align="left" colspan="2"| Blank ballots |
||
| |
| 394 || 1.15 || style="color:green;"| +0.55 |
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| bgcolor="#E9E9E9" colspan="2"| |
| bgcolor="#E9E9E9" colspan="2"| |
||
|- |
|- |
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Line 642: | Line 641: | ||
|- style="font-weight:bold;" |
|- style="font-weight:bold;" |
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| align="left" colspan="2"| Total |
| align="left" colspan="2"| Total |
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| 34, |
| 34,282 || bgcolor="#E9E9E9" colspan="2"| |
||
| 25 || ±0 |
| 25 || ±0 |
||
|- |
|- |
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Line 648: | Line 647: | ||
|- |
|- |
||
| align="left" colspan="2"| Valid votes |
| align="left" colspan="2"| Valid votes |
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| 34, |
| 34,282 || 98.84 || style="color:red;"| –0.30 |
||
| bgcolor="#E9E9E9" colspan="2" rowspan="5"| |
| bgcolor="#E9E9E9" colspan="2" rowspan="5"| |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| align="left" colspan="2"| Invalid votes |
| align="left" colspan="2"| Invalid votes |
||
| |
| 403 || 1.16 || style="color:green;"| +0.30 |
||
|- style="font-weight:bold;" |
|- style="font-weight:bold;" |
||
| align="left" colspan="2"| Votes cast / turnout |
| align="left" colspan="2"| Votes cast / turnout |
||
| 34, |
| 34,685 || 54.79 || style="color:green;"| +0.25 |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| align="left" colspan="2"| Abstentions |
| align="left" colspan="2"| Abstentions |
||
| || || |
| 28,616 || 45.21 || style="color:red;"| –0.25 |
||
|- style="font-weight:bold;" |
|- style="font-weight:bold;" |
||
| align="left" colspan="2"| Registered voters |
| align="left" colspan="2"| Registered voters |
||
| 63, |
| 63,301 || bgcolor="#E9E9E9" colspan="2"| |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| colspan="7" bgcolor="#E9E9E9"| |
| colspan="7" bgcolor="#E9E9E9"| |
||
|- |
|- |
||
| align="left" colspan="7"| Sources<ref>{{cite journal |journal=Boletín Oficial del Estado |issue=261 |date=1 November 2023 |language=es |title=Resolución de 5 de julio de 2023, de la Presidencia de la Junta Electoral Central, por la que se procede a la publicación del resumen de los resultados de las elecciones locales convocadas por Real Decreto 207/2023, de 3 de abril, y celebradas el 28 de mayo de 2023, según los datos que figuran en las actas de proclamación remitidas por cada una de las Juntas Electorales de Zona. Provincias: Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Segovia, Sevilla, Soria, Tarragona, Teruel, Toledo, Valencia, Valladolid, Zamora y Zaragoza. Ciudades Autónomas de Ceuta y Melilla |url=https://www.boe.es/boe/dias/2023/08/07/pdfs/BOE-A-2023-18101.pdf |issn=0212-033X |pages=145194–146077}}</ref> |
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| align="left" colspan="7"| Sources |
|||
|- |
|- |
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| colspan="7" style="text-align:left; max-width:790px;"| {{hidden|ta1=left|title='''Footnotes:'''|content={{ubl |
| colspan="7" style="text-align:left; max-width:790px;"| {{hidden|ta1=left|title='''Footnotes:'''|content={{ubl |
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Line 678: | Line 677: | ||
|barwidth=500px |
|barwidth=500px |
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|bars= |
|bars= |
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{{bar percent|[[People's Party (Spain)|PP]]|{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}|34. |
{{bar percent|[[People's Party (Spain)|PP]]|{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}|34.34}} |
||
{{bar percent|[[Spanish Socialist Workers' Party|PSOE]]|{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party}}| |
{{bar percent|[[Spanish Socialist Workers' Party|PSOE]]|{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party}}|21.00}} |
||
{{bar percent|[[Vox (political party)|Vox]]|{{party color|Vox (political party)}}|20. |
{{bar percent|[[Vox (political party)|Vox]]|{{party color|Vox (political party)}}|20.63}} |
||
{{bar percent|[[Movement for Dignity and Citizenship|MDyC]]|{{party color|Movement for Dignity and Citizenship}}|11. |
{{bar percent|[[Movement for Dignity and Citizenship|MDyC]]|{{party color|Movement for Dignity and Citizenship}}|11.22}} |
||
{{bar percent|[[Ceuta Ya!|CY!]]|{{party color|Ceuta Ya!}}|10.04}} |
{{bar percent|[[Ceuta Ya!|CY!]]|{{party color|Ceuta Ya!}}|10.04}} |
||
{{bar percent|Others|#777777|1. |
{{bar percent|Others|#777777|1.61}} |
||
{{bar percent|Blank ballots|#DDDDDD|1.15}} |
{{bar percent|Blank ballots|#DDDDDD|1.15}} |
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}} |
}} |
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Line 708: | Line 707: | ||
|- |
|- |
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! colspan="2"| Required majority → |
! colspan="2"| Required majority → |
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| colspan="2"| 13 out of 25{{efn|If no candidate reaches an absolute majority, the candidate from the largest party is elected as Mayor}} |
|||
| colspan="2"| 13 out of 25 |
|||
|- |
|- |
||
! width="1px" style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}};"| |
! width="1px" style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}};"| |
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Line 717: | Line 716: | ||
| {{tick|15}} |
| {{tick|15}} |
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|- |
|- |
||
! style="background:{{party color|Movement for Dignity and Citizenship}};"| |
! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Movement for Dignity and Citizenship}};"| |
||
| align="left"| {{Collapsible list | title = <span style="font-weight:normal;">[[Fatima Hamed]] ([[Movement for Dignity and Citizenship|MDyC]])</span> |
| align="left"| {{Collapsible list | title = <span style="font-weight:normal;">[[Fatima Hamed]] ([[Movement for Dignity and Citizenship|MDyC]])</span> |
||
|• [[Movement for Dignity and Citizenship|MDyC]] (3) |
|• [[Movement for Dignity and Citizenship|MDyC]] (3) |
||
Line 724: | Line 723: | ||
| {{cross|15}} |
| {{cross|15}} |
||
|- |
|- |
||
! style="background:{{party color|Ceuta Ya!}};"| |
! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Ceuta Ya!}};"| |
||
| align="left"| {{Collapsible list | title = <span style="font-weight:normal;">[[Mohamed Mustafa (politician)|Mohamed Mustafa]] ([[Ceuta Ya!]])</span> |
| align="left"| {{Collapsible list | title = <span style="font-weight:normal;">[[Mohamed Mustafa (politician)|Mohamed Mustafa]] ([[Ceuta Ya!]])</span> |
||
|• [[Ceuta Ya!]] (2) |
|• [[Ceuta Ya!]] (2) |
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[[Category:Elections in Ceuta|2023]] |
[[Category:Elections in Ceuta|2023]] |
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[[Category:2023 elections in Spain|Ceuta Assembly]] |
[[Category:2023 elections in Spain|Ceuta Assembly]] |
Latest revision as of 14:32, 17 June 2024
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All 25 seats in the Assembly of Ceuta 13 seats needed for a majority | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Registered | 63,301 1.2% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Turnout | 34,685 (54.8%) 0.3 pp | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2023 Ceuta Assembly election was held on Sunday, 28 May 2023, to elect the 8th Assembly of the autonomous city of Ceuta. All 25 seats in the Assembly were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.
Electoral system
[edit]The Assembly of Ceuta was the top-tier administrative and governing body of the autonomous city of Ceuta.[1] Voting for the Assembly was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over eighteen, registered and residing in the municipality of Ceuta and in full enjoyment of their political rights, as well as resident non-national European citizens and those whose country of origin allowed Spanish nationals to vote in their own elections by virtue of a treaty.[2]
The 25 members of the Assembly of Ceuta were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of five percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied.[1][2]
The Mayor-President was indirectly elected by the plenary assembly. A legal clause required that mayoral candidates earned the vote of an absolute majority of councillors, or else the candidate of the most-voted party in the assembly was to be automatically appointed to the post. In the event of a tie, the appointee would be determined by lot.[1]
The electoral law provides that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors are allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors are required to secure the signature of a determined amount of the electors registered in Ceuta. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called.[2]
Opinion polls
[edit]The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.
Graphical summary
[edit]Voting intention estimates
[edit]The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 13 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Assembly of Ceuta.
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | MDyC | CY! | CA | Lead | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023 Assembly election | 28 May 2023 | — | 54.8 | 34.3 9 |
21.0 6 |
20.6 5 |
11.2 3 |
[b] | 0.7 0 |
0.6 0 |
10.0 2 |
– | 13.3 |
ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 1][p 2] | 11–17 May 2023 | 250 | ? | 34.1 9 |
25.0 7 |
21.3 5 |
10.3 2 |
[b] | 0.8 0 |
– | 7.4 2 |
– | 9.1 |
ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 3][p 4] | 4–10 May 2023 | 250 | ? | 33.4 9 |
25.3 7 |
21.6 5 |
10.4 2 |
[b] | 0.8 0 |
– | 7.4 2 |
– | 8.1 |
ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 5][p 6] | 26 Apr–3 May 2023 | 250 | ? | 33.5 9 |
25.5 7 |
21.2 5 |
10.5 2 |
[b] | 0.8 0 |
– | 7.5 2 |
– | 8.0 |
ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 7][p 8] | 19–25 Apr 2023 | 250 | ? | 33.5 9 |
25.8 7 |
20.8 5 |
10.2 2 |
[b] | 0.6 0 |
– | 7.8 2 |
– | 7.7 |
GAD3/RTVCE[p 9] | 20–24 Apr 2023 | 803 | ? | 39.3 11 |
19.5 5 |
21.3 5/6 |
10.8 2/3 |
[b] | 0.3 0 |
1.1 0 |
6.0 1 |
– | 18.0 |
ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 10][p 11] | 12–18 Apr 2023 | 250 | ? | 29.7 8 |
25.6 7 |
20.2 6 |
9.7 2 |
[b] | 0.6 0 |
– | 8.3 2 |
4.9 0 |
4.1 |
SyM Consulting[p 12][p 13] | 7–11 Apr 2023 | 818 | 49.6 | 24.9 6/7 |
21.9 6 |
31.8 8 |
10.7 2/3 |
[b] | – | – | 7.3 2 |
– | 6.9 |
ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 14][p 15] | 5–11 Apr 2023 | 250 | ? | 30.4 9 |
25.1 7 |
19.9 5 |
9.8 2 |
[b] | 0.6 0 |
– | 8.3 2 |
4.9 0 |
5.3 |
Dialoga Consultores/CeutaTV[p 16] | 9 Apr 2023 | 600 | ? | 35.0 9/11 |
31.2 8/10 |
18.9 4/6 |
5.5 1/2 |
[b] | 0.3 0 |
0.3 0 |
3.5 0 |
4.2 0/1 |
3.8 |
ElectoPanel/El Plural[p 17][p 18] | 27 Mar–4 Apr 2023 | 250 | ? | 31.0 9 |
24.7 7 |
19.5 5 |
9.8 2 |
[b] | 0.6 0 |
– | 8.4 2 |
4.8 0 |
6.3 |
GAD3/El Pueblo de Ceuta[p 19] | 23 Jan–10 Feb 2023 | 1,004 | ? | 38.4 11 |
21.9 6 |
19.1 5 |
9.6 2 |
[b] | 0.4 0 |
– | 5.0 1 |
3.1 0 |
16.5 |
SyM Consulting[p 20][p 21] | 5–9 Dec 2022 | 1,279 | 52.8 | 25.4 6/7 |
20.2 5 |
32.8 9 |
7.4 1/2 |
[b] | – | – | 9.3 3 |
1.9 0 |
7.4 |
GAD3/El Pueblo de Ceuta[p 22] | 2–14 Sep 2022 | 684 | ? | 36.3 10 |
20.2 5 |
18.4 5 |
7.1 2 |
[b] | 0.4 0 |
– | 6.0 1 |
9.9 2 |
16.1 |
SyM Consulting[p 23][p 24] | 6–10 Jul 2022 | 1,116 | 53.8 | 25.4 7 |
20.8 5/6 |
31.9 8/9 |
9.2 2 |
[b] | – | – | 7.2 2 |
2.2 0 |
6.5 |
NC Report/El Faro de Ceuta[p 25] | 3 Feb 2022 | ? | 57.9 | 33.8 9 |
27.4 8 |
23.4 6 |
5.1 1 |
[b] | 1.4 0 |
1.4 0 |
5.7 1 |
– | 6.4 |
SyM Consulting[p 26][p 27] | 16–19 Dec 2021 | 740 | 56.0 | 23.8 6 |
22.1 6 |
32.9 8/9 |
11.6 3 |
[b] | – | – | 5.8 1/2 |
– | 9.1 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 28] | 30 Sep 2021 | ? | ? | 28.6 8 |
23.6 6 |
25.7 7 |
10.3 2 |
9.0 2 |
1.5 0 |
– | – | – | 2.9 |
SyM Consulting[p 29][p 30] | 20–23 May 2021 | 732 | 53.2 | 26.6 7 |
23.3 6 |
28.2 7/8 |
10.1 2/3 |
7.8 2 |
– | – | – | – | 1.6 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 31] | 15 Feb 2021 | 400 | ? | 31.7 9 |
21.1 6 |
22.4 6 |
10.2 2 |
10.4 2 |
1.9 0 |
– | – | – | 9.3 |
SyM Consulting[p 32][p 33] | 9–12 Dec 2020 | 652 | 49.8 | 25.0 7 |
20.1 5/6 |
28.3 7/8 |
8.9 2 |
12.7 3 |
– | – | – | – | 3.3 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 34] | 16 Aug–26 Sep 2020 | ? | ? | 38.9 10 |
22.1 6 |
15.6 4 |
10.9 3 |
8.9 2 |
2.3 0 |
– | – | – | 16.8 |
SyM Consulting[p 35][p 36] | 12–13 Sep 2020 | 687 | 50.8 | 29.8 8 |
20.5 5/6 |
23.4 6/7 |
11.4 3 |
9.7 2 |
– | – | – | – | 6.4 |
SyM Consulting[p 37][p 38] | 22–23 Jun 2020 | 564 | 59.3 | 35.4 9/10 |
26.1 7 |
14.5 4 |
8.3 2/3 |
9.2 2 |
1.8 0 |
– | – | – | 9.3 |
SyM Consulting[p 39][p 40] | 25–26 May 2020 | 541 | 65.9 | 39.3 10/11 |
18.2 5 |
8.4 2 |
16.8 4/5 |
12.0 3 |
1.4 0 |
– | – | – | 21.1 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 41][p 42] | 1 Apr–15 May 2020 | ? | ? | 40.0 11 |
24.2 7 |
16.4 4 |
7.6 2 |
6.4 1 |
2.4 0 |
– | – | – | 15.8 |
SyM Consulting[p 43][p 44] | 1–2 Feb 2020 | 534 | 61.7 | 39.1 10/11 |
24.9 7 |
7.9 2 |
12.5 3 |
10.1 2/3 |
1.6 0 |
– | – | – | 14.2 |
November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | — | 54.0 | 22.3 6 |
31.3 9 |
35.2 10 |
2.5 0 |
– | 3.4 0 |
3.9 0 |
– | – | 3.9 |
2019 Assembly election | 26 May 2019 | — | 54.5 | 31.1 9 |
25.6 7 |
22.4 6 |
7.0 2 |
6.2 1 |
4.5 0 |
1.5 0 |
– | – | 5.5 |
Results
[edit]Parties and alliances | Popular vote | Seats | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− | ||
People's Party (PP) | 11,774 | 34.34 | +3.22 | 9 | ±0 | |
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) | 7,198 | 21.00 | –4.60 | 6 | –1 | |
Vox (Vox) | 7,073 | 20.63 | –1.74 | 5 | –1 | |
Movement for Dignity and Citizenship (MDyC) | 3,848 | 11.22 | +4.26 | 3 | +1 | |
Ceuta Now! (Ceuta Ya!)1 | 3,442 | 10.04 | +3.82 | 2 | +1 | |
Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (CS) | 239 | 0.70 | –3.84 | 0 | ±0 | |
We Can (Podemos)2 | 192 | 0.56 | –0.93 | 0 | ±0 | |
Free (LB) | 122 | 0.36 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
Blank ballots | 394 | 1.15 | +0.55 | |||
Total | 34,282 | 25 | ±0 | |||
Valid votes | 34,282 | 98.84 | –0.30 | |||
Invalid votes | 403 | 1.16 | +0.30 | |||
Votes cast / turnout | 34,685 | 54.79 | +0.25 | |||
Abstentions | 28,616 | 45.21 | –0.25 | |||
Registered voters | 63,301 | |||||
Sources[3] | ||||||
Footnotes:
|
Aftermath
[edit]Investiture | |||
Ballot → | 17 June 2023 | ||
---|---|---|---|
Required majority → | 13 out of 25[c] | ||
|
9 / 25
|
||
|
3 / 25
|
||
|
2 / 25
|
||
11 / 25
| |||
Absentees | 0 / 25
| ||
Sources[4] |
Notes
[edit]References
[edit]- Opinion poll sources
- ^ "El sondeo de Ceuta y Melilla al margen de las sospechas de la compra de voto". El Plural (in Spanish). 20 May 2023.
- ^ "EP Autonómico (20My – Final): nos espera un 28M de infarto". Electomanía (in Spanish). 20 May 2023.
- ^ "Esto es lo que pasará el 28-M en Ceuta y Melilla, según el último pronóstico electoral". El Plural (in Spanish). 13 May 2023.
- ^ "ElectoPanel Autonómico (13M)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 13 May 2023.
- ^ "La estimación de escaños de Ceuta y Melilla deja todo abierto de cara a las elecciones autonómicas". El Plural (in Spanish). 6 May 2023.
- ^ "ElectoPanel Autonómico (6M)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 6 May 2023.
- ^ "Ceuta y Melilla / El PP ganaría en las ciudades autónomas, pero necesitaría el apoyo de la extrema derecha". El Plural (in Spanish). 29 April 2023.
- ^ "ElectoPanel Autonómico (29A)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 29 April 2023.
- ^ "Encuesta elecciones Ceuta". GAD3 (in Spanish). 28 April 2023.
- ^ "Ceuta y Melilla / El PP necesitaría de la extrema derecha para gobernar en las ciudades autónomas". El Plural (in Spanish). 23 April 2023.
- ^ "ElectoPanel Autonómico (22A)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 22 April 2023.
- ^ "Estimación oleada Abril 2023. Ceuta. Autonómicas 2023". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 28 April 2023.
- ^ "[AUT] CEUTA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 28/04/2023: CEUTA YA! 7,3% (2), MDyC 10,7% (2/3), PSOE 21,9% (6), PP 24,9% (6/7), VOX 31,8% (8)". Electográfica (in Spanish). 28 April 2023.
- ^ "ElectoPanel Ceuta y Melilla / El PP necesitaría pactar con Vox o PSOE para repetir gobierno". El Plural (in Spanish). 15 April 2023.
- ^ "ElectoPanel Autonómico (15A) – varias CCAA en un puño". Electomanía (in Spanish). 15 April 2023.
- ^ "Encuesta electoral. Hay partido. El PP va ganando (10), pero el PSOE podría ganar (9)". CeutaTV (in Spanish). 9 April 2023.
- ^ "ElectoPanel Ceuta y Melilla / El PP ganaría las elecciones en ambas ciudades autónomas, pero necesitaría apoyos para gobernar". El Plural (in Spanish). 8 April 2023.
- ^ "EP Autonómico 8A – comienza el juego". Electomanía (in Spanish). 8 April 2023.
- ^ "Vivas ganaría las elecciones, a solo dos escaños de la mayoría absoluta según GAD3". El Pueblo de Ceuta (in Spanish). 21 February 2023.
- ^ "Estimación oleada Diciembre 2022. Ceuta. Autonómicas 2023". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 4 January 2023.
- ^ "CEUTA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 04/01/2023: CEUTA YA! 9,3% (3), MDyC 7,4% (1/2), PSOE 20,2% (5), CEUTA AVANZA 1,9%, PP 25,4% (6/7), VOX 32,8% (9)". Electograph (in Spanish). 4 January 2023.
- ^ "El PP sumaría un escaño más y ganaría de nuevo las elecciones en Ceuta, según GAD3". El Pueblo de Ceuta (in Spanish). 20 September 2022.
- ^ "Estimación oleada Julio 2022. Ceuta. Autonómicas 2023". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 15 July 2022.
- ^ "CEUTA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 15/07/2022: CEUTA YA! 7,2% (2), MDyC 9,2% (2), PSOE 20,8% (5/6), CEUTA AVANZA 2,2%, PP 25,4% (7), VOX 31,9% (8/9)". Electograph (in Spanish). 15 July 2022.
- ^ "Una encuesta de NC Report da al PP la victoria electoral en 2023". El Faro de Ceuta (in Spanish). 3 February 2022.
- ^ "Estimación oleada Diciembre 2021. Ceuta. Autonómicas 2023". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 27 December 2021.
- ^ "CEUTA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 27/12/2021: CEUTA YA! 5,8% (1/2), MDyC 11,6% (3), PSOE 22,1% (6), PP 23,8% (6), VOX 32,9% (8/9)". Electograph (in Spanish). 27 December 2021.
- ^ "EP Ceuta (30S): PP y Vox entran en empate técnico". Electomanía (in Spanish). 30 September 2021.
- ^ "Estimación oleada Mayo 2021. Ceuta. Autonómicas 2023". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 26 May 2021.
- ^ "CEUTA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 26/05/2021: CABALLAS 7,8% (2), MDyC 10,1% (2/3), PSOE 23,3% (6), PP 26,6% (7), VOX 28,2% (7/8)". Electograph (in Spanish). 26 May 2021.
- ^ "EP (15F): doble sorpasso en Ceuta (Vox al PSOE y Caballas a MDyC). En Melilla, bajada del PP y subida de CpM, que le acecha". Electomanía (in Spanish). 15 February 2021.
- ^ "Estimación oleada Diciembre 2020 Ceuta. Autonómicas 2023". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 21 December 2020.
- ^ "CEUTA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 21/12/2020: CABALLAS 12,7% (3), MDyC 8,9% (2), PSOE 20,1% (5/6), PP 25,0% (7), VOX 28,3% (7/8)". Electograph (in Spanish). 21 December 2020.
- ^ "EP Autonómico (30S): subida de MDyC y bajada del PP que dejan a la izquierda más cerca del Gobierno de Ceuta". Electomanía (in Spanish). 30 September 2020.
- ^ "Estimación oleada Septiembre 2020 Ceuta. Autonómicas 2023". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 17 September 2020.
- ^ "CEUTA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 17/09/2020: CABALLAS 9,7% (2), MDyC 11,4% (3), PSOE 20,5% (5/6), PP 29,8% (8), VOX 23,4% (6/7)". Electograph (in Spanish). 17 September 2020.
- ^ "Estimación oleada Julio 2020 Ceuta. Autonómicas 2023". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 27 June 2020.
- ^ "CEUTA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 27/06/2020: CABALLAS 9,2% (2/3), MDyC 8,3% (2), PSOE 26,1% (7), Cs 1,8%, PP 35,4% (9/10), VOX 14,5% (4)". Electograph (in Spanish). 27 June 2020.
- ^ "Estimación oleada Mayo 2020 Ceuta. Autonómicas 2023". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 1 June 2020.
- ^ "CEUTA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 01/06/2020: CABALLAS 12,0% (3), MDyC 16,8% (4/5), PSOE 18,2% (5), Cs 1,4%, PP 39,3% (10/11), VOX 8,4% (2)". Electograph (in Spanish). 1 June 2020.
- ^ "EP (17My): Ceuta – trasvase de Vox al PP". Electomanía (in Spanish). 17 May 2020.
- ^ "MacroPanel Autonómico (17My): 8 gobiernos para PSOE+, 8 para PP+ y 3 para otros+". Electomanía (in Spanish). 17 May 2020.
- ^ "Estimación oleada Febrero 2020 Ceuta. Autonómicas 2023". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 5 February 2020.
- ^ "CEUTA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 05/02/2020: CABALLAS 10,1% (2/3), MDyC 12,5% (3), PSOE 24,9% (7), Cs 1,6%, PP 39,1% (10/11), VOX 7,9% (2)". Electograph (in Spanish). 5 February 2020.
- Other
- ^ a b c Ley Orgánica 1/1995, de 13 de marzo, de Estatuto de Autonomía de Ceuta (Law 1) (in Spanish). 13 March 1995. Retrieved 21 February 2020.
- ^ a b c Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General (Organic Law 5) (in Spanish). 19 June 1985. Retrieved 8 April 2023.
- ^ "Resolución de 5 de julio de 2023, de la Presidencia de la Junta Electoral Central, por la que se procede a la publicación del resumen de los resultados de las elecciones locales convocadas por Real Decreto 207/2023, de 3 de abril, y celebradas el 28 de mayo de 2023, según los datos que figuran en las actas de proclamación remitidas por cada una de las Juntas Electorales de Zona. Provincias: Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Segovia, Sevilla, Soria, Tarragona, Teruel, Toledo, Valencia, Valladolid, Zamora y Zaragoza. Ciudades Autónomas de Ceuta y Melilla" (PDF). Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish) (261): 145194–146077. 1 November 2023. ISSN 0212-033X.
- ^ "El popular Juan Vivas, investido por séptima vez presidente de Ceuta con la abstención de PSOE y Vox". eldiario.es. 17 June 2023. Retrieved 20 June 2023.