2020 United States Senate election in Virginia: Difference between revisions

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The 2020 United States Senate election in Virginia will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Virginia, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Senator Mark Warner first won election in 2008 getting 65% of the vote over former governor Jim Gilmore.^[1] In 2014, during the Tea Party movement, Senator Warner won re-election with 49.1% of the vote defeating former chairman of the Republican National Committee Ed Gillespie by 0.8%.^[2] Warner is running for a third term.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Mark Warner, incumbent U.S. Senator^[3]^[4]^[5]

Results

Democratic primary results
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Mark Warner (incumbent)
Total votes				100.0%

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Alissa Baldwin, teacher^[6]
Blaine Dunn, Frederick County supervisor^[7]
Omari Faulkner, business executive and former U.S. State Department official^[8]^[9]
Roger Franklin^[10]
Daniel Gade, college professor and U.S. Army veteran^[11]
Thomas Speciale, U.S. Army veteran and intelligence officer^[12]
Victor Williams, attorney and activist^[13]

Withdrawn

Gary Adkins, financial executive^[14]
Scott Taylor, former U.S. Representative for Virginia's 2nd congressional district^[15] (running for his former House seat)

Declined

Nick Freitas, state delegate and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018 (running for U.S. House)^[16]
Corey Stewart, nominee for U.S. Senate in 2018 and former chairman of the Prince William Board of County Supervisors^[17]^[18]

Endorsements

Gary Adkins (withdrawn)

Organizations

Virginia Watchmen Council^[19]

Daniel Gade

National Party Officials

Morton Blackwell, Virginia representative to the Republican National Committee^[20]

U.S. Representatives

Dan Crenshaw, (R-Texas-02)^[21]
Elise Stefanik, (R-NY 21)
Scott Rigell, former (R-Virginia-02)^[20]

State Senators

Bill Carrico, former (R-40)^[20]

State Delegates

Wendell Walker. (R-23)^[20]

Local Officials

Rick West, Mayor of Chesapeake, Virginia

Individuals

Don Bolduc, Brigadier General and 2020 candidate for U.S. Senate in New Hampshire^[20]
E. W. Jackson, pastor and conservative activist^[20]

Organizations

Combat Veterans for Congress^[22]

Scott Taylor (withdrawn)

U.S Representatives

Dave Brat, former U.S. Representative (VA-07)^[23]
Barbara Comstock, former U.S. Representative (VA-10)^[23]

Results

Republican primary results
Party		Candidate	%
	Republican	Alissa Baldwin
	Republican	Blaine Dunn
	Republican	Omari Faulkner
	Republican	Roger Franklin
	Republican	Daniel Gade
	Republican	Thomas Speciale
	Republican	Victor Williams
Total votes			100.0%

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[24]	Safe D	February 5, 2020
Inside Elections^[25]	Safe D	January 10, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[26]	Safe D	February 20, 2020
Politico^[27]	Likely D	November 19, 2019

Polling

Hypothetical polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Generic Democrat	Generic Republican	Other	Undecided
Ipsos/University of Virginia	Feb 15–19, 2019	636	± 4.0%	43%	26%	2%	23%

Results

United States Senate election in Virginia, 2020
Party		Candidate	%
	Democratic	Mark Warner (incumbent)
	Republican	TBA
Total votes			100.0%

Notes

^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

References

^ "Virginia Elections Database » 2008 U.S. Senate General Election". Virginia Elections Database.
^ "Virginia Elections Database » 2014 U.S. Senate General Election". Virginia Elections Database.
^ Seth McLaughlin (July 8, 2019). "Sen. Mark Warner posts $1.8M second-quarter fundraising haul". Washingtion Times. Retrieved July 8, 2019.
^ Virginia Department of Elections. "Declaration of Candidacy" (PDF). Commonwealth of Virginia. Retrieved February 1, 2020.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
^ Virginia Department of Elections (November 2019). "June and November, 2020 United States Senate Candidate Bulletin" (PDF). Commonwealth of Virginia. p. 4. Retrieved February 1, 2020.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
^ "Baldwin announces run for U.S. senate". The Kenbridge Victoria Dispatch. July 22, 2019.
^ Janney, Josh (January 30, 2020). "Dunn seeking GOP nomination for U.S. Senate seat". The Winchester Star.
^ Wilson, Patrick (November 13, 2019). "Two Republicans start campaigns for U.S. Senate in Virginia". Richmond Times Dispatch. Retrieved November 14, 2019.
^ "Former State Dept Official, Georgetown Basketball Player, Launches GOP U.S. Senate Run". The Daily Wire. Retrieved 2020-02-10.
^ "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1346979". docquery.fec.gov.
^ Solano, Sophia (December 12, 2019). "SPA professor and veteran running for Virginia U.S. Senate seat". The Eagle. Retrieved January 5, 2020.
^ Berti, Daniel (September 12, 2019). "Woodbridge Army officer launches bid for U.S. Senate". Prince William Times. Retrieved September 16, 2019.
^ "On July 4th, Virginia Sen. Mark Warner Harshly Criticized by 2020 Challener, Pro-Trump Law Prof Victor Williams". DC Presswire. July 9, 2019. Retrieved July 11, 2019.
^ "Gary Adkins Announces Termination of His Bid for U.S. Senate 2020". Standard Newswire. December 23, 2019. Retrieved January 5, 2020.
^ Wilson, Reid (December 9, 2019). "Ex-Rep. Scott Taylor to seek old Virginia seat". The Hill. Retrieved December 9, 2019.
^ Leonor, Mel (December 2, 2019). "Freitas launches bid to challenge Spanberger for congressional seat". Richmond Times-Dispatch. Retrieved December 2, 2019.
^ Vozzella, Laura (December 15, 2018). "As Va. GOP seeks new course, Corey Stewart says he's finished with statewide politics". The Washington Post. Retrieved December 16, 2018.
^ "Corey Stewart to quit politics: 'Just isn't exciting for me anymore'". Washington Examiner. January 9, 2019. Retrieved January 13, 2019.
^ "Virginia Watchmen Council Endorses Gary Adkins for U.S. Senate (VA) in 2020 - Christian Newswire". christiannewswire.com.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f Gade, Daniel. "Daniel Gade Unloads First Round of Endorsements".
^ Crenshaw, Dan (January 20, 2020). "Virginians came out in droves to advocate peacefully for the #2A at #VirginiaRally America was watching. But what's next? Help me put the right Virginians in Congress. Donate here for @gadeforvirginia @Scotttaylorva @RobJonesVA @NickForVA".
^ "Combat Veterans For Congress | Electing Fiscal Conservatives". www.combatveteransforcongress.org.
^ ^a ^b Scott Taylor. "Super appreciative of the support! It was an honor to serve with the two of you ⁦@BarbaraComstock⁩ & ⁦@DaveBratVA7th". Twitter.
^ "2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2019.
^ "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
^ "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.

External links

Official campaign websites

[28] Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

[1] "Virginia Elections Database » 2008 U.S. Senate General Election". Virginia Elections Database.

[2] "Virginia Elections Database » 2014 U.S. Senate General Election". Virginia Elections Database.

[3] Seth McLaughlin (July 8, 2019). "Sen. Mark Warner posts $1.8M second-quarter fundraising haul". Washingtion Times. Retrieved July 8, 2019.

[4] Virginia Department of Elections. "Declaration of Candidacy" (PDF). Commonwealth of Virginia. Retrieved February 1, 2020.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)

[5] Virginia Department of Elections (November 2019). "June and November, 2020 United States Senate Candidate Bulletin" (PDF). Commonwealth of Virginia. p. 4. Retrieved February 1, 2020.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)

[6] "Baldwin announces run for U.S. senate". The Kenbridge Victoria Dispatch. July 22, 2019.

[7] Janney, Josh (January 30, 2020). "Dunn seeking GOP nomination for U.S. Senate seat". The Winchester Star.

[8] Wilson, Patrick (November 13, 2019). "Two Republicans start campaigns for U.S. Senate in Virginia". Richmond Times Dispatch. Retrieved November 14, 2019.

[9] "Former State Dept Official, Georgetown Basketball Player, Launches GOP U.S. Senate Run". The Daily Wire. Retrieved 2020-02-10.

[10] "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1346979". docquery.fec.gov.

[11] Solano, Sophia (December 12, 2019). "SPA professor and veteran running for Virginia U.S. Senate seat". The Eagle. Retrieved January 5, 2020.

[12] Berti, Daniel (September 12, 2019). "Woodbridge Army officer launches bid for U.S. Senate". Prince William Times. Retrieved September 16, 2019.

[13] "On July 4th, Virginia Sen. Mark Warner Harshly Criticized by 2020 Challener, Pro-Trump Law Prof Victor Williams". DC Presswire. July 9, 2019. Retrieved July 11, 2019.

[14] "Gary Adkins Announces Termination of His Bid for U.S. Senate 2020". Standard Newswire. December 23, 2019. Retrieved January 5, 2020.

[15] Wilson, Reid (December 9, 2019). "Ex-Rep. Scott Taylor to seek old Virginia seat". The Hill. Retrieved December 9, 2019.

[16] Leonor, Mel (December 2, 2019). "Freitas launches bid to challenge Spanberger for congressional seat". Richmond Times-Dispatch. Retrieved December 2, 2019.

[17] Vozzella, Laura (December 15, 2018). "As Va. GOP seeks new course, Corey Stewart says he's finished with statewide politics". The Washington Post. Retrieved December 16, 2018.

[18] "Corey Stewart to quit politics: 'Just isn't exciting for me anymore'". Washington Examiner. January 9, 2019. Retrieved January 13, 2019.

[19] "Virginia Watchmen Council Endorses Gary Adkins for U.S. Senate (VA) in 2020 - Christian Newswire". christiannewswire.com.

[GadeEndorsements-20] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f Gade, Daniel. "Daniel Gade Unloads First Round of Endorsements".

[21] Crenshaw, Dan (January 20, 2020). "Virginians came out in droves to advocate peacefully for the #2A at #VirginiaRally America was watching. But what's next? Help me put the right Virginians in Congress. Donate here for @gadeforvirginia @Scotttaylorva @RobJonesVA @NickForVA".

[22] "Combat Veterans For Congress | Electing Fiscal Conservatives". www.combatveteransforcongress.org.

[strvi-23] Scott Taylor. "Super appreciative of the support! It was an honor to serve with the two of you ⁦@BarbaraComstock⁩ & ⁦@DaveBratVA7th". Twitter.

[24] "2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2019.

[25] "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 3, 2019.

[26] "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved August 28, 2019.

[27] "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.

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@@ Line 58: / Line 58: @@
 ====Declared====
 * Alissa Baldwin, teacher<ref>{{cite web |title=Baldwin announces run for U.S. senate|url=https://www.kenbridgevictoriadispatch.com/2019/07/22/baldwin-announces-run-for-u-s-senate/ |website=The Kenbridge Victoria Dispatch|date=July 22, 2019}}</ref>
+* Blaine Dunn, [[Frederick County, Virginia|Frederick County]] supervisor<ref>{{cite web |last1=Janney |first1=Josh |title=Dunn seeking GOP nomination for U.S. Senate seat |url=https://www.winchesterstar.com/winchester_star/dunn-seeking-gop-nomination-for-u-s-senate-seat/article_48e02f0a-c4a9-5da8-ba8a-a42134de88cf.html |website=The Winchester Star |date=January 30, 2020}}</ref>
-* Blaine Dunn, Supervisor of Red Bud District on the Frederick County Board of Supervisors<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.blainedunn.com/|title=Blaine Dunn for Senate|website=Blaine Dunn for Senate}}</ref>
-* Omari Faulkner, business executive, U.S. Navy reservist, professor, author, former State Department Envoy<ref>{{cite web|title=Two Republicans start campaigns for U.S. Senate in Virginia|url=https://www.richmond.com/news/virginia/two-republicans-start-campaigns-for-u-s-senate-in-virginia/article_20a474d6-0308-5ffd-b36f-367a3844de75.html|website=Richmond Times Dispatch|last=Wilson|first=Patrick|date=November 13, 2019|accessdate=November 14, 2019}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.dailywire.com/news/former-state-dept-official-georgetown-basketball-player-launches-gop-u-s-senate-run|title=Former State Dept Official, Georgetown Basketball Player, Launches GOP U.S. Senate Run|website=The Daily Wire|language=en|access-date=2020-02-10}}</ref>
+* Omari Faulkner, business executive and former [[U.S. State Department]] official<ref>{{cite web|title=Two Republicans start campaigns for U.S. Senate in Virginia|url=https://www.richmond.com/news/virginia/two-republicans-start-campaigns-for-u-s-senate-in-virginia/article_20a474d6-0308-5ffd-b36f-367a3844de75.html|website=Richmond Times Dispatch|last=Wilson|first=Patrick|date=November 13, 2019|accessdate=November 14, 2019}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.dailywire.com/news/former-state-dept-official-georgetown-basketball-player-launches-gop-u-s-senate-run|title=Former State Dept Official, Georgetown Basketball Player, Launches GOP U.S. Senate Run|website=The Daily Wire|language=en|access-date=2020-02-10}}</ref>
 * Roger Franklin<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/S0VA00138/1346979/|title=FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1346979|website=docquery.fec.gov}}</ref>
-*[[Daniel Gade]], professor and U.S. Army veteran<ref>{{cite web |last1=Solano |first1=Sophia |title=SPA professor and veteran running for Virginia U.S. Senate seat |url=https://www.theeagleonline.com/article/2019/12/spa-professor-veteran-running-for-virginia-u-s-senate-seat |website=The Eagle |accessdate=January 5, 2020 |date=December 12, 2019}}</ref>
+*[[Daniel Gade]], college professor and U.S. Army veteran<ref>{{cite web |last1=Solano |first1=Sophia |title=SPA professor and veteran running for Virginia U.S. Senate seat |url=https://www.theeagleonline.com/article/2019/12/spa-professor-veteran-running-for-virginia-u-s-senate-seat |website=The Eagle |accessdate=January 5, 2020 |date=December 12, 2019}}</ref>
 *Thomas Speciale, U.S. Army veteran and intelligence officer<ref>{{cite web|title=Woodbridge Army officer launches bid for U.S. Senate|url=https://www.princewilliamtimes.com/news/woodbridge-army-officer-launches-bid-for-u-s-senate/article_73798766-d57d-11e9-97bd-7b8f3e006aa1.html|website=Prince William Times|last=Berti|first=Daniel|date=September 12, 2019|accessdate=September 16, 2019}}</ref>
 * Victor Williams, attorney and activist<ref>{{cite web|title=On July 4th, Virginia Sen. Mark Warner Harshly Criticized by 2020 Challener, Pro-Trump Law Prof Victor Williams|url=https://www.dcpresswire.com/2019/07/09/on-july-4th-virginia-sen-mark-warner-harshly-criticized-by-2020-challener-pro-trump-law-prof-victor-williams/|work=DC Presswire|date=July 9, 2019|accessdate=July 11, 2019}}</ref>
 ====Withdrawn====
 * Gary Adkins, financial executive<ref>{{cite web |title=Gary Adkins Announces Termination of His Bid for U.S. Senate 2020 |url=http://www.standardnewswire.com/news/7516115927.html |website=Standard Newswire |accessdate=January 5, 2020 |date=December 23, 2019}}</ref>

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