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Undid revision 841199337 by Masterpha (talk) Dubious. WSJ source is paywalled, but Gallup Pakistan has not published this poll on their own website.
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|{{nowrap|(?) Mar 2018}}
|[[Gallup Pakistan]]<ref name="wsj">{{cite web |url=https://www.wsj.com/articles/trial-of-ex-leader-rattles-pakistans-democracy-1524657601 |title=Trial of Ex-Leader Rattles Pakistan’s Democracy |first1=Saeed |last1=Shah |website=[www.wsj.com] |date=25 April 2018}}</ref>
|2,000
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Revision as of 16:14, 14 May 2018

General elections are scheduled to be held in Pakistan on the 15th July 2018.[1] In the run up to this, several Pollsters have conducted opinion polls on both the national and provincial level.

Graphical summaries

Each coloured line specifies a political party and how strong their voting intention is nationwide for the National Assembly, based on a 2 point moving average. Parties which poll below 10% are not shown.
  Pakistan Muslim League (N)
  Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf
  Pakistan Peoples Party

Nationwide voting intention

Voting intention polls conducted since 2013 for the National Assembly

Date Pollster Sample PML-N PTI PPP MQM-P JUI-F ANP Others Lead
class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Muttahida Qaumi Movement/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Awami National Party/meta/color; width:60px;"|
01 Nov 2017 Gallup Pakistan[2] 3,000 34% 26% 15% 2% 2% 2% 19% style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|8%
25 Oct 2017 Pulse Consultant[2] 3,243 36% 23% 15% 2% 1% 1% 22% style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color|13%
24 Oct 2017 GSP[3] 4,540 38% 27% 17% 3% 1% 1% 14% style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color|11%
24 Apr 2017 Gallup Pakistan[4] 1,400 36% 25% 16% 2% 3% 2% 16% style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|11%
38% 22% 17% 2% 2% 2% 14% style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|16%
27 Aug 2015 SDPI[5][6] 3,014 27% 33% 14% 1% 2% 1% 20% style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color"|6%
17 Jul 2014 SDPI/Herald[7] 1,354 17% 33% 19% 5% 3% 3% 18% style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color"|14%
11 May 2013 Election 2013[8] 45,388,404 style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|32.77% 16.92% 15.23% 5.41% 3.22% 1.00% 25.57% style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|15.85%

Province-wide voting intention

Voting intention polls conducted for each of the provinces. If a party has N/A listed in the poll, this indicates it is in the 'Others' section of the poll. If a certain poll result is bolded, this indicates that the option has achieved over 50% of the vote.

Punjab

Date Pollster Legislature type PML-N PTI PPP Others Lead
class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color; width:60px;"|
01 Nov 2017 Gallup Pakistan[2] unspecified 50% 31% 5% 14% style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|19%
25 Oct 2017 Pulse Consultant[2] unspecified 55% 20% 7% 18% style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|35%
24 Oct 2017 GSP[9] National 58% 23% 6% 13% style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|35%
27 Aug 2015 SDPI[5][6] National 38% 35% 7% 20% style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|3%
17 Jul 2014 SDPI/Herald[7] Provincial 25% 43% 11% 21% style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color"|18%
11 May 2013 Election 2013[8] Provincial style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|40.77% 17.76% 8.84% 32.57% style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|23.01%

Sindh

Date Pollster Legislature type PPP MQM (P) PML (F) PTI PML (N) Others Lead
class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Muttahida Qaumi Movement/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (F)/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color; width:60px;"|
01 Nov 2017 Gallup Pakistan[2] unspecified 44% 10% — 11% 35% style="background:Template:Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color; color:white"|33%
25 Oct 2017 Pulse Consultant[2] unspecified 46% 7% — 10% — 37% style="background:Template:Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color; color:white"|36%
24 Oct 2017 GSP[9] National 52% 11% 2% 14% 12% 7% style="background:Template:Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color; color:white"|38%
27 Aug 2015 SDPI[5][6] National 41% 5% — 21% 13% 20% style="background:Template:Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color; color:white"|20%
17 July 2014 SDPI/Herald[7] Provincial 50% 20% 5% 25% style="background:Template:Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color; color:white"|30%
11 May 2013 Election 2013[8] Provincial style="background:Template:Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color; color:white"|32.6% 25.5% 11.6% 6.2% 6.0% 18.1% style="background:Template:Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color; color:white"|7.1%

Khyber Pakhtunkhwa

Date Pollster Legislature type PTI PML (N) JUI (F) ANP Others Lead
class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Awami National Party/meta/color; width:60px;"|
01 Nov 2017 Gallup Pakistan[2] unspecified 47% 10% 43% style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color"|37%
25 Oct 2017 Pulse Consultant[2] unspecified 53% 13% 34% style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color"|40%
24 Oct 2017 GSP[9] National 62% 10% 1% 5% 22% style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color"|52%
27 Aug 2015 SDPI[5][6] National 50% 15% 7% 7% 21% style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color"|35%
17 Jul 2014 SDPI/Herald[7] Provincial 40% — 13% 12% 35% style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color"|27%
11 May 2013 Election 2013[8] Provincial style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color"|19.3% 15.9% 13.6% 10.3% 40.9% style="background:Template:PTI/meta/color"|3.4%

Balochistan

Date Pollster Legislature type JUI (F) PkMAP PML (N) BNP NP PPP ANP PTI Others Lead
class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:National Party (Pakistan)/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Awami National Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color; width:60px;"|
01 Nov 2017 Gallup Pakistan[2] unspecified 22% 18% 16% 44% 4%
25 Oct 2017 Pulse Consultant[2] unspecified — 39% — 7% 21% 33% style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|18%
24 Oct 2017 GSP[9] National — 6% 15% 8% 1% 9% 2% 33% 26% style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color"|18%
27 Aug 2015 SDPI[5][6] National 18% — 5% — 10% 12% 4% 51% 6%
17 July 2014 SDPI/Herald[7] Provincial — 23% 22% — 14% 41% 1%
11 May 2013 Election 2013[8] Provincial 15.8% 12.8% 10.3% 6.2% 5.8% 4.0% 2.4% 1.8% 40.9% 3.0%

Constituency-wide voting intention

Colour key

  † Exit Poll

  ‡ By election result

Constituency NA-4

Date Pollster Sample PTI PML (N) JI ANP PPP Others Lead
class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Jamaat-e-Islami/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Awami National Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color; width:60px;"|
26 Oct 2017‡ By-election 2017 131,298 style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color"|34.8% 18.9% 5.4% 18.9% 10.0% 12.1% style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color"|15.9%
26 Oct 2017† CPDI[10] 1,742 43% 16% 8% 20% 9% 6% style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color"|23%
19 Oct 2017 IPOR[11] 1,313 41% 18% 4% 9% 9% 19% style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color"|25%
11 May 2013 Election 2013[8] 138,555 style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color"|39.8% 14.7% 11.9% 11.4% 8.7% 13.5% style="background:Template:PTI/meta/color"|25.1%

Constituency NA-53

Date Pollster Sample PTI PML (N) PPP Others Lead
class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color; width:60px;"| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color; width:60px;"|
28 Feb 2018 IPOR[12] 598 37% 41% 2% 20% style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|4%
11 May 2013 Election 2013[8] 236,624 style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color"|46.6% 43.2% 6.3% 3.9% style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color"|3.4%

Polling on Politicians

Disqualification/Resignation of Nawaz Sharif

Date Pollster Sample Agree
(Right) 		Disagree
(Wrong) 		Don’t Know Lead
05 April 2018 Gallup Pakistan[13] 1,586 53% 40% 7% 13%
01 Nov 2017 Gallup Pakistan[2] 3,000 55% 33% 11% 22%
54% 31% 15% 23%
25 Oct 2017 Pulse Consultant[2] 3,243 48% 31% 21% 17%
47% 28% 25% 19%
24 Oct 2017 GSP[9] 4,540 65% 33% 2% 32%
69% 28% 3% 39%
28 July 2017 Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif is disqualified from office by the Supreme Court

Nawaz Sharif vs Imran Khan

Date Pollster Nawaz Sharif Imran Khan Don’t Know Lead
(undefined) 2018 Gallup Pakistan[14] 49% 46% 5% style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|3%
(undefined) 2017 Gallup Pakistan[14] 51% 39% 10% style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|12%
(undefined) 2016 Gallup Pakistan[14] 57% 37% 6% style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|20%
(undefined) 2015 Gallup Pakistan[14] 59% 35% 6% style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|24%

References

  1. ^ "Prime Minister Shahid Khaqan Abbasi has said that general elections will be held in the country on 15th July next year". Twitter. December 16, 2017. {{cite news}}: Cite has empty unknown parameter: |1= (help)
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l Elahi, Manzar; Haider, Sajjad (24 November 2017). "PML-N remains most popular party, Nawaz most favourite leader: survey". Geo TV.
  3. ^ "Shehbaz favoured by Pakistan's majority to become premier: GSP survey". Dunya News. 28 October 2017.
  4. ^ "Gallup Public Pulse on Panama Leaks Verdict – 24 Hours after the Announcement". Gallup Pakistan. 24 April 2017.
  5. ^ a b c d e Suleri, Abid Q (2015). "Political Barometer, 2015" (PDF). Sustainable Development Policy Institute.
  6. ^ a b c d e Sheikh, Ismail (28 October 2015). "PTI more popular than PML-N: survey". The Express Tribune. Retrieved 29 March 2018.
  7. ^ a b c d e "State of the nation: public opinion of the government's first year in power". Dawn. Retrieved 29 March 2018.
  8. ^ a b c d e f g "Party wise total vote bank" (PDF). Government of Pakistan. 27 May 2013. Archived from the original (PDF) on 8 October 2017.
  9. ^ a b c d e "National Public Opinion Survey". Global Strategic Partners. 24 October 2017.
  10. ^ "Exit Polls in NA-4 (Peshawar – IV) By-Elections Give Clear Lead to PTI". Centre for Peace and Development Initiatives. 26 October 2017.
  11. ^ "NA-04 Peshawar" (PDF). Institute for Public Opinion Research. 25 October 2017.
  12. ^ "A Quantitative Study Report on the Political Continuum of NA-53" (PDF). Institute for Public Opinion Research. 1 March 2018.
  13. ^ "Public Opinion on Supreme Court Ruling in Elections Reforms Case" (PDF). 5 April 2018.
  14. ^ a b c d Shah, Saeed (25 April 2018). "Trial of Ex-Leader Rattles Pakistan's Democracy". [www.wsj.com].
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