2018 Michigan gubernatorial election
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Turnout | 55.4% | |||||||||||||||||||
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Whitmer: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Schuette: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% No data | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Michigan |
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The 2018 Michigan gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next governor of Michigan, concurrently with the election of Michigan's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Republican Governor Rick Snyder and Lieutenant Governor Brian Calley were term-limited and were unable to seek a third term in office.[2] The filing deadline was April 24, 2018. The Republican, Democratic and Libertarian parties chose their nominees in a partisan primary on August 7, 2018.[3] 2018 was the first year the Libertarian Party held a gubernatorial primary alongside the two other major parties in the state of Michigan.[4] The Working Class Party, U.S. Taxpayers Party, Green Party and Natural Law Party chose their nominees at state party conventions.[5]
The race was not as close as expected, with Democrat Gretchen Whitmer was elected with 53.3% of the vote to Republican Bill Schuette's 43.8%.[6] Schuette performed best in more sparsely populated areas, while Whitmer was supported by large margins in large and medium cities, such as Detroit, Ann Arbor, and Lansing. Whitmer also performed well in the Detroit suburbs. Whitmer carried former Republican stronghold Kent County (location of her native Grand Rapids), the first Democratic candidate to do so since James Blanchard's landslide 1986 reelection. Democrats swept the statewide races by also holding onto the Senate seat that was up for re-election, and picking up the positions of secretary of state and attorney general. They also captured every state university trustee seat that was up for election as well as the State Board of Education.[7]
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominated
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Brian Calley, Lieutenant Governor[10]
- Patrick Colbeck, state senator[11]
- Jim Hines, physician and president of the Christian Medical and Dental Associations[12]
Declined
[edit]- David Agema, former Republican National Committeeman and former state representative (endorsed Patrick Colbeck)[13][14]
- Jase Bolger, former Speaker of the Michigan House of Representatives[15]
- Larry C. Inman, state representative[16]
- Ruth Johnson, Michigan Secretary of State and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2006 (running for state senate)[17]
- Arlan Meekhof, Majority Leader of the Michigan Senate[18]
- Candice Miller, Macomb County Public Works Commissioner and former U.S. Representative (endorsed Bill Schuette)[19][20]
Endorsements
[edit]- U.S. Executive Branch Officials
- Mike Pence, 47th Vice President of the United States (2017–2021), former Governor of Indiana (2013–2017) and former U.S. Representative (IN-6/IN-2) (2001–2013)[21]
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)[22][23]
- U.S. Governors
- U.S. Representatives
- Tim Walberg, U.S. Representative (MI-07)[25]
- Local politicians
- Individuals
- Ted Nugent, guitarist, singer, songwriter, and political activist[28]
- Organizations
- Right to Life of Michigan[29]
- U.S. Senators
- State officials
- David Agema, former Republican National Committeeman and former state representative[14]
- Individuals
- David Barton, founder of Wallbuilders[31]
- Dawn Dodge, Speakers Bureau Director for the Republican Women's Federation of Michigan[32]
- Bob Dutko, Conservative Christian talk radio host[33]
- Mark Gurley, co-director of the Michigan Oak Initiative and as the Grassroots vice-chair for the MIGOP[34]
- Sean Hannity[35]
- Jack Lousma, former NASA astronaut and retired USMC colonel[36]
- Bob Lutz, Former General Motors Vice-Chairman and ex-Chrysler President[37]
- Wes Nakagiri, Michigan Tea Party leader, one of the 17 Republican at-large delegates sent to the 2016 Republican National Convention
- Thayrone X, Metro Detroit talk radio host[38]
- Organizations
- U.S. Governors
- U.S. Representatives
- Justin Amash, U.S. Representative (MI-03)[41]
- State and local officials
- Bryan Barnett, Rochester Hills Mayor[42]
- Chris Barnett, Orion Township Supervisor[42]
- Robert Cannon, Clinton Township Supervisor[42]
- Donijo DeJonge, Kent County GOP Chair[43]
- Judy Emmons, state senator[44]
- Kurt Heise, Plymouth Township Supervisor[42]
- Patrick Kittle, Independence Township Supervisor[42]
- Terri Lynn Land, former Michigan Secretary of State[45]
- James Lower, state representative[44]
- Ken Massey, Farmington Hills Mayor[42]
- Kevin McDaniel, Auburn Hills Mayor[42]
- Steve Percival, Clarkston Mayor[42]
- Leo Savoie, Bloomfield Township Supervisor[42]
- Dane Slater, Troy Mayor[42]
- Gary Wall, Waterford Township Supervisor[42]
- Michael Webber, state representative[42]
- Individuals
- Dan DeVos, businessman and sports executive[46]
- Chuck Yob, former Republican National Committee member[45]
- Organizations
- Detroit Regional Chamber of Commerce[47]
- Grand Rapids Area Chamber of Commerce[48]
- Home Builders Association of Michigan[49]
- Michigan Vaccine Freedom PAC[39]
- Right to Life of Michigan[29]
- Newspapers
Debates
[edit]Host network |
Date | Link(s) | Participants | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bill Schuette |
Patrick Colbeck |
Brian Calley |
Jim Hines | |||||
WOOD-TV | May 9, 2018 | [52] | Invited | Invited | Invited | Invited | ||
WDIV-TV | June 28, 2018 | Invited | Invited | Invited | Invited |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Brian Calley |
Patrick Colbeck |
Jim Hines |
Bill Schuette |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mitchell Research | July 30, 2018 | 413 | ± 5.0% | 18% | 9% | 10% | 40% | – | 23% |
EPIC-MRA | July 21–22, 2018 | 1,045 | ± 3.1% | 24% | 11% | 8% | 42% | – | 15% |
Emerson College Archived July 31, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | July 19–21, 2018 | 202 | ± 7.3% | 13% | 7% | 9% | 35% | – | 36% |
Marist College | July 15–19, 2018 | 337 | ± 6.3% | 26% | 11% | – | 33% | 1% | 30% |
JMC Analytics | July 5–12, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 17% | 10% | 4% | 25% | – | 45% |
Target-Insyght | June 24–26, 2018 | 400 | ± 5.0% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 45% | – | 21% |
NMB Research (R-Better Jobs PAC) | June 18–21, 2018 | – | – | 23% | – | – | 45% | – | 29% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Schuette) | May 22–24, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 19% | 6% | 1% | 42% | – | – |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Schuette) | April 29 – May 1, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 20% | 6% | 2% | 42% | – | – |
Glengariff Group | April 19–21, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 23% | 4% | 1% | 36% | 0%[53] | 34% |
Denno Research | April 2–3, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.0% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 23% | – | 59% |
Strategic National (R) | March 19–20, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 18% | 7% | 3% | 27% | – | 45% |
Marketing Resource Group Archived March 29, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | March 13–17, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 13% | 2% | 2% | 29% | – | 54% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Schuette) | February 10–13, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.4% | 15% | 5% | 2% | 42% | – | – |
Strategic National (R) | December 16–17, 2017 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 19% | 5% | 2% | 30% | – | 44% |
Target-Insyght | November 1–6, 2017 | 400 | ± 5.0% | 14% | <5% | <5% | 38% | – | – |
Mitchell Research | September 21–24, 2017 | 400 | ± 5.0% | 13% | – | – | 52% | – | 36% |
Marketing Resource Group Archived October 19, 2017, at the Wayback Machine | September 13–18, 2017 | 216 | ± 4.0% | 13% | 3% | 3% | 33% | – | 48% |
Target-Insyght | July 25–27, 2017 | 344 | ± 5.4% | 14% | 4% | 1% | 42% | – | 39% |
Marketing Resource Group Archived May 29, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | May 8–11, 2017 | 216 | ± 4.0% | 11% | – | 7% | 32% | – | 51% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Brian Calley |
Jim Hines |
Arlan Meekhof |
Candice Miller |
Bill Schuette |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mitchell Research Archived July 14, 2017, at the Wayback Machine | May 31, 2017 | 435 | ± 4.7% | 14% | 1% | – | 21% | 18% | 46% |
Target-Insyght | February 2–4, 2016 | 400 | ± 5% | 11% | – | 3% | 20% | 21% | 45% |
Results
[edit]- Schuette—60–70%
- Schuette—50–60%
- Schuette—40–50%
- Schuette—30–40%
- Calley—30–40%
- Calley—40–50%
- Calley—50–60%
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Bill Schuette | 501,959 | 50.7 | |
Republican | Brian Calley | 249,185 | 25.2 | |
Republican | Patrick Colbeck | 129,646 | 13.1 | |
Republican | Jim Hines | 108,735 | 11.0 | |
Total votes | 989,525 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominated
[edit]- Gretchen Whitmer, former Ingham County Prosecuting Attorney and former Minority Leader of the Michigan Senate[55]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Abdul El-Sayed, former executive director of the Detroit Department of Health and Wellness Promotion[56]
- Shri Thanedar, author and entrepreneur[57]
Write-In
[edit]- Bill C. Cobbs, businessman[58]
Declined
[edit]- John Austin, former president of the Michigan Board of Education[59]
- Mark Bernstein, member of University of Michigan Board of Regents[60]
- Mike Duggan, Mayor of Detroit[61][59][62]
- Geoffrey Fieger, attorney and nominee for governor in 1998[63][62]
- Mark Hackel, Macomb County Executive[64][65]
- Dan Kildee, U.S. Representative[66]
- Andy Levin, energy consultant and son of Congressman Sander Levin[67] (running for Congress in MI-9)
- Barbara McQuade, former United States Attorney for the Eastern District of Michigan[68]
- Gary Peters, U.S. Senator[69]
- Matt Simoncini, CEO of Lear Corporation[70][71]
- Bart Stupak, former U.S. Representative[72]
Endorsements
[edit]- U.S. Senators
- Carl Levin, former U.S. Senator from Michigan (1979-2015)[73]
- U.S. Representatives
- Debbie Dingell, U.S. Representative (MI-12)[74]
- Dan Kildee, U.S. Representative (MI-05)[74]
- Brenda Lawrence, U.S. Representative (MI-14)[74]
- Sander Levin, U.S. Representative (MI-09)[74]
- State officials
- Jim Blanchard, former Governor of Michigan (1983-1991)[75]
- Frank J. Kelley, former Attorney General of Michigan (1961-1999)[75]
- Local officials
- Mike Duggan, Mayor of Detroit[75]
- Organizations
- AFL-CIO[76]
- American Federation of Teachers-Michigan[77]
- Emily's List[78]
- Michigan Education Association[79]
- Service Employees International Union[80]
- Teamsters Local 43[81]
- United Auto Workers[82]
- Newspapers
- U.S. Senators
- Bernie Sanders, U.S. Senator from Vermont (2007-Present) (Independent)[84]
- U.S. Representatives
- State legislators
- Abdullah Hammoud, state representative[86]
- Organizations
- Ann Arbor for Revolution[87]
- Democracy for America
- Grand Rapids United Progressives[87]
- Justice Democrats
- Lansing for Revolution[87]
- Michigan for Revolution[88]
- Michigan Nurses Association[89]
- Millennials for Revolution[90]
- Oakland County for Revolution[91]
- Our Revolution
- The People for Bernie Sanders[92]
- Progressive Change Campaign Committee[93]
- Newspapers and publications
- Political candidates
- Kerri Evelyn Harris, Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate, Delaware[95]
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Democratic nominee for U.S. Representative (NY-14)[96]
- Individuals
- Ben Affleck, actor[97]
- Danny DeVito, actor[98]
- Alex Ebert, musician[99]
- Shaun King, activist[100]
- Michael Moore, documentarian and activist[101]
- Ameya Pawar, Chicago Alderman[102]
- Piper Perabo, actress[103]
- Joseph Sanberg, entrepreneur and investor[104]
- Nina Turner, former Ohio State Senator and President of Our Revolution
Debates
[edit]Host network |
Date | Participants | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Abdul El-Sayed |
Shri Thanedar |
Gretchen Whitmer | ||||
WOOD-TV | June 20, 2018 | Invited | Invited | Invited | ||
WDIV-TV | July 19, 2018 | Invited | Invited | Invited |
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bill Cobbs |
Abdul El-Sayed |
Shri Thanedar |
Gretchen Whitmer |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EPIC-MRA | July 21–22, 2018 | 1,054 | ± 3.1% | – | 19% | 22% | 49% | – | 10% |
Change Research (D-El-Sayed) | July 20–21, 2018 | 1,503 | – | – | 27% | 15% | 33% | – | 24% |
Emerson College Archived July 31, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | July 19–21, 2018 | 282 | ± 6.4% | – | 12% | 17% | 39% | – | 31% |
Marist College | July 15–19, 2018 | 442 | ± 5.5% | – | 22% | 27% | 31% | <1% | 20% |
Target-Insyght | June 24–26, 2018 | 400 | ± 5.0% | – | 17% | 19% | 40% | 2% | 22% |
Glengariff Group | April 20–22, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 3% | 7% | 30% | 26% | – | 35% |
Denno Research | April 6–7, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.0% | 2% | 2% | 15% | 17% | – | 63% |
Marketing Resource Group Archived March 29, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | March 13–17, 2018 | 233 | ± 6.4% | 3% | 10% | 21% | 18% | – | 48% |
Target-Insyght | March 6–8, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 4% | 6% | 20% | 34% | 3% | 33% |
EPIC-MRA (D-Thanedar) | February 17–22, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 3% | 8% | 24% | 34% | – | 31% |
Target-Insyght | November 1–6, 2017 | 400 | ± 5.0% | 4% | 13% | 2% | 45% | 8% | 28% |
Marketing Resource Group Archived October 19, 2017, at the Wayback Machine | September 13–18, 2017 | 255 | ± 4.0% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 27% | – | 58% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mike Duggan |
Abdul El-Sayed |
Geoffrey Fieger |
Mark Hackel |
Dan Kildee |
Andy Levin |
Shri Thanedar |
Gretchen Whitmer |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Target-Insyght | November 1–6, 2017 | 400 | ± 5.0% | 29% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 43% | – |
– | – | 28% | – | – | – | – | 41% | – | ||||
– | – | – | – | – | 19% | – | 42% | – | ||||
Target-Insyght | February 2–4, 2016 | 400 | ± 5% | 20% | – | – | 9% | 12% | – | – | 16% | 43% |
Target-Insyght | July 25, 2017 | 377 | ± 5.4% | – | 4% | 35% | – | – | – | 3% | 35% | – |
Marketing Resource Group Archived May 29, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | May 8–11, 2017 | 255 | ± 4.0% | – | 9% | 26% | – | – | – | – | 24% | 41% |
Results
[edit]- Whitmer—60–70%
- Whitmer—50–60%
- Whitmer—40–50%
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Gretchen Whitmer | 588,436 | 52.0 | |
Democratic | Abdul El-Sayed | 342,179 | 30.2 | |
Democratic | Shri Thanedar | 200,645 | 17.7 | |
Total votes | 1,131,447 | 100.0 |
Libertarian primary
[edit]The Libertarian Party is one of three parties that have a primary in Michigan.[105]
Candidates
[edit]Nominated
[edit]- Bill Gelineau[106]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- John Tatar[106]
Endorsements
[edit]- Organizations
- Michigan Vaccine Freedom PAC[39]
Debates
[edit]Host network |
Date | Participants | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bill Gelineau |
John Tatar | ||||
WOOD-TV[107] | July 15, 2018 | Invited | Invited | ||
WJBK-TV[108] | July 22, 2018 | Invited | Invited |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Libertarian | Bill Gelineau | 4,034 | 57.8 | |
Libertarian | John Tatar | 2,941 | 42.2 | |
Total votes | 6,975 | 100.0 |
Green Convention
[edit]The Green Party chose candidates for the 2018 ballot at its state convention on May 5, 2018, at the University of Michigan-Flint.[109]
Candidates
[edit]Declared and nominated
[edit]- Jennifer Kurland, president of the Redford Union School Board[109]
U.S. Taxpayers Party
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared and nominated
[edit]- Todd Schleiger
Natural Law Party
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared and nominated
[edit]- Keith Butkovich[110]
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[111] | Lean D (flip) | October 26, 2018 |
The Washington Post[112] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
FiveThirtyEight[113] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Rothenberg Political Report[114] | Lean D (flip) | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[115] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics[116] | Lean D (flip) | November 4, 2018 |
Daily Kos[117] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Fox News[118][a] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Politico[119] | Likely D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Governing[120] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
- Notes
- ^ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races
Endorsements
[edit]- U.S. Executive Branch Officials
- Mike Pence, 47th Vice President of the United States (2017–2021), former Governor of Indiana (2013–2017) and former U.S. Representative (IN-6/IN-2) (2001–2013)[121]
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)[122][123]
- U.S. Governors
- John Engler, former Governor of Michigan (1991–2003)[124]
- Scott Walker, Governor of Wisconsin (2011–2019)[125]
- U.S. Representatives
- Jack Bergman, U.S. Representative (MI-1) (2017–present)[126]
- Mike Bishop, U.S. Representative (MI-8) (2015–2019)[127]
- Candice Miller, Macomb County Public Works Commissioner (2017–present) and former U.S. Representative (MI-10) (2003–2016)[20]
- Paul Mitchell, U.S. Representative (MI-10) (2017–2021)[128]
- John Moolenaar, U.S. Representative (MI-4) (2015–present)[129]
- Dave Trott, U.S. Representative (MI-11) (2017–2019)[130]
- Tim Walberg, U.S. Representative (MI-7) (2011–present)[131]
- State Representatives[132]
- Julie Alexander
- Sue Allor
- Tom Barrett
- Lee Chatfield
- Triston Cole
- Laura Cox
- Diana Farrington
- Ben Frederick
- Gary Glenn
- Joseph Graves
- Roger Hauck
- Michele Hoitenga
- Pamela Hornberger
- Gary Howell
- Tim Kelly
- Klint Kesto
- Beau LaFave
- Daniel Lauwers
- Eric Leutheuser
- Peter Lucido
- Steve Marino
- Mike McCready
- Aaron Miller
- Daire Rendon
- Jim Runestad
- Jason Sheppard
- Jim Tedder
- Curt VanderWall
- Scott VanSingel
- Hank Vaupel
- Rob VerHeulen
- Jason Wentworth
- Mary Whiteford
- Jeff Yaroch
- State Senators[132]
- Darwin Booher
- Jack Brandenburg
- Tom Casperson
- Mike Green
- Goeff Hansen
- Kenneth Horn
- Joe Hune
- Rick Jones
- Jim Marleau
- Phil Pavlov
- John Proos
- David B. Robertson
- Jim Stamas
- Organizations
- Associated Builders and Contractors of Michigan[133]
- Detroit Fire Fighters Association[134]
- Detroit Police Officers Association[135]
- Michigan Chamber of Commerce[136]
- Michigan Farm Bureau[137]
- Michigan Restaurant Association[138]
- Michigan Realtors[139]
- National Federation of Independent Business[140]
- Police Officers Association of Michigan[141]
- NRA Political Victory Fund[142]
- Right to Life of Michigan[29]
- Small Business Association of Michigan[143]
- The Young Republicans Club of Dearborn High School
- Local officials
- Mike Bouchard, Sheriff of Oakland County and former Michigan State Senator[144]
- L. Brooks Patterson, County Executive of Oakland County, Michigan[145]
- Individuals
- Pam Bondi, Florida Attorney General (2011–2019)[146]
- Donald Trump Jr., businessman and son of U.S. President Donald Trump[147]
- U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States (2009–2017) and former U.S Senator from Delaware (1973–2009)[149]
- Hillary Clinton, 67th United States Secretary of State (2009–2013), former U.S. Senator from New York (2001–2009), former First Lady of the United States (1993–2001), 2016 Democratic Nominee for President[150]
- Eric Holder, 82nd United States Attorney General (2009–2015)[151]
- Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States (2009–2017) and former U.S. Senator from Illinois (2005–2008)[152]
- U.S. Senators
- Kirsten Gillibrand, U.S. Senator from New York (2009–present) and former U.S. Representative (NY-20) (2007–2009)[153]
- Gary Peters, U.S. Senator from Michigan (2015–present) and former U.S. Representative (MI-9/MI-14) (2009–2015)[154]
- Bernie Sanders, U.S Senator from Vermont (2007–present) and former U.S. Representative (VT-AL) (1991–2007) (Independent)[155]
- Debbie Stabenow, U.S. Senator from Michigan (2001–present) and former U.S. Representative (MI-8) (1997–2001)[156]
- U.S. Representatives
- Debbie Dingell, U.S. Representative (MI-12) (2015–present)[157]
- Dan Kildee, U.S. Representative (MI-5) (2013–present)[157]
- Brenda Lawrence, U.S. Representative (MI-14) (2015–present)[157]
- Sander Levin, U.S. Representative (MI-9) (1983–2019)[157]
- Joe Schwarz, former Republican U.S. Representative (MI-7) (2005–2007) (Independent)[158]
- Governors
- James Blanchard, former Governor of Michigan (1983–1991)[159]
- John D. Cherry, former Lieutenant Governor of Michigan (2003–2011)[160]
- Jennifer Granholm, former Governor of Michigan (2003–2011)[161]
- Jay Inslee, Governor of Washington (2013–present)[162]
- State officials
- Steve Bieda, state senator
- Warren Evans, Wayne County, MI Executive
- Pam Farris, state representative
- Sherry Gay-Dagnogo, state representative
- Erika Geiss, state representative
- Patrick Green, state representative
- Vincent Gregory, state senator
- Curtis Hertel, state senator
- Curtis Hertel Jr., state senator[163]
- Morris Hood III, state senator
- Hoon-Yung Hopgood, state senator
- Frank Kelley, former Michigan Attorney General
- Leslie Love, state representative
- Jeremy Moss, state representative[164]
- Benny Napoleon, Sheriff of Wayne County, MI
- Ronnie Peterson, state representative
- Sam Singh, Minority Leader of the Michigan House of Representatives
- Tim Snelller, state representative[165]
- Rebekah Warren, state senator
- Kym Worthy, Wayne County Prosecutor
- Local officials
- David Coulter, Mayor of Ferndale
- Mike Duggan, Mayor of Detroit[166]
- Labor unions
- American Federation of Teachers
- International Association of Bridge, Structural, Ornamental and Reinforcing Iron Workers Local 25[167]
- Michigan AFL–CIO[168]
- Michigan Building and Construction Trades Council
- Michigan Education Association[169]
- Michigan Joint Council of the Retail, Wholesale and Department Store Union
- Michigan Pipe Trades Association
- Michigan Regional Council of Carpenters and Millwrights
- Michigan State Conference of International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers[170]
- Michigan State Utility Workers Council
- Teamsters Local 299
- United Association of Journeymen and Apprentices of the Plumbing, Pipefitting and Sprinkler Fitting Industry of the United States and Canada Local 636 (UA)
- United Automobile Workers[171]
- Organizations
- EMILY's List
- MI List (MI chapter of EMILY's List)
- Individuals
- Jan Bidwell, social worker and activist
- Abdul El Sayed, candidate for governor
- Chelsea Handler, actress[172]
- Cecile Richards, activist[173]
- Individuals
- Mary Buzuma, 2014 candidate for governor
- Greg Creswell, 2006 candidate for governor
- Kenneth Proctor, 2010 candidate for governor
- Organizations
- The Education Watchdogs
- The Modern Whig Party
- Protect OutStolen Treasures
- State officials
- Rick Snyder, 48th Governor of Michigan (2011–2019)[176]
Polling
[edit]Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bill Schuette (R) |
Gretchen Whitmer (D) |
Bill Gelineau (L) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mitchell Research | November 5, 2018 | 827 | ± 3.4% | 41% | 48% | – | 5% | 6% |
Mitchell Research | November 4, 2018 | 701 | ± 3.7% | 40% | 54% | – | 1% | 1% |
Change Research | November 2–4, 2018 | 880 | – | 43% | 51% | 2% | 3%[177] | – |
Research Co. | November 1–3, 2018 | 450 | ± 4.6% | 43% | 47% | – | 1% | 9% |
Glengariff Group | October 25–27, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 38% | 50% | 2% | 2%[178] | 9% |
Emerson College | October 24–26, 2018 | 822 | ± 3.6% | 41% | 52% | – | 3% | 4% |
Mitchell Research | October 25, 2018 | 400 | ± 5.0% | 43% | 48% | – | 4% | 4% |
Target-Insyght Archived November 7, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | October 22–24, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.0% | 44% | 48% | 1% | 4%[179] | 4% |
EPIC-MRA | October 18–23, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 41% | 46% | 3% | 3% | 7% |
Michigan State University | October 13–22, 2018 | 169 | – | 39% | 47% | – | – | – |
ALG Research (D)[A] | October 15–21, 2018 | 906 | ± 3.3% | 36% | 47% | 4% | 6%[180] | 11% |
38% | 48% | – | – | 13% | ||||
Marketing Resource Group Archived October 23, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | October 14–18, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 36% | 50% | 2% | 4% | 7% |
ALG Research (D)[A] | October 8–14, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 36% | 46% | 3% | 2%[181] | 13% |
Mitchell Research | September 30 – October 7, 2018 | 654 | ± 3.8% | 38% | 46% | – | 6% | 10% |
Glengariff Group | September 30 – October 2, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 35% | 47% | – | 5% | 13% |
ALG Research (D)[A] | September 24–30, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 37% | 49% | 2% | 2%[181] | 10% |
EPIC-MRA Archived September 28, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | September 21–25, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 37% | 45% | 2% | 5% | 11% |
Ipsos | September 14–24, 2018 | 1,150 | ± 3.0% | 39% | 52% | – | 4% | 6% |
Target-Insyght[permanent dead link] | September 10–14, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.0% | 41% | 50% | – | – | – |
Mitchell Research | September 12–13, 2018 | 1,009 | ± 3.0% | 38% | 48% | – | 5% | 9% |
ALG Research (D)[A] | September 8–13, 2018 | 798 | ± 3.5% | 38% | 45% | 3% | 3%[181] | 11% |
Strategic National (R) | September 8–9, 2018 | 1,000 | ± 3.1% | 39% | 49% | – | – | 12% |
Glengariff Group | September 5–7, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 36% | 50% | 2% | 4%[182] | 10% |
Gravis Marketing | August 14–16, 2018 | 647 | ± 3.9% | 37% | 52% | – | – | 11% |
Strategic National (R) | August 13–14, 2018 | 700 | ± 3.7% | 36% | 45% | – | 2% | 17% |
Emerson College | July 19–21, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.3% | 36% | 43% | – | 9% | 12% |
Marist College | July 15–19, 2018 | 886 | ± 3.9% | 38% | 47% | – | 1% | 14% |
Target-Insyght | June 24–26, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.0% | 37% | 42% | – | – | 20% |
NMB Research (R) | June 18–21, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 39% | 40% | – | – | 20% |
EPIC-MRA | April 30 – May 3, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 38% | 43% | – | – | 19% |
Glengariff Group | January 16–19, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 33% | 40% | – | – | 25% |
Michigan State University | September 14, 2017 – January 18, 2018 | 963 | ± 3.2% | 35% | 41% | – | – | 24% |
EPIC-MRA | December 9–13, 2017 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 38% | 35% | – | – | 27% |
Target-Insyght | November 1–6, 2017 | 1,000 | ± 3.6% | 40% | 41% | – | – | 19% |
EPIC-MRA | August 27 – September 1, 2017 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 37% | 37% | – | – | 26% |
- with Bill Schuette and Abdul El-Sayed
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bill Schuette (R) |
Abdul El-Sayed (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College Archived July 31, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | July 19–21, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.3% | 38% | 33% | 12% | 17% |
Glengariff Group | January 16–19, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 38% | 34% | – | 27% |
- with Bill Schuette and Shri Thanedar
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bill Schuette (R) |
Shri Thanedar (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College Archived July 31, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | July 19–21, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.3% | 35% | 38% | 12% | 15% |
Target-Insyght | June 24–26, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.0% | 37% | 40% | – | 22% |
NMB Research (R-Better Jobs PAC) | June 18–21, 2018 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 40% | 40% | – | 19% |
EPIC-MRA | April 30 – May 3, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 38% | 44% | – | 18% |
- with Brian Calley and Gretchen Whitmer
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Brian Calley (R) |
Gretchen Whitmer (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College Archived July 31, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | July 19–21, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.3% | 33% | 44% | 8% | 16% |
Michigan State University | September 14, 2017 – January 18, 2018 | 963 | ± 3.2% | 34% | 42% | – | 24% |
- with Brian Calley and Shri Thanedar
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Brian Calley (R) |
Shri Thanedar (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College Archived July 31, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | July 19–21, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.3% | 38% | 36% | 12% | 14% |
- with Bill Schuette and Geoffrey Fieger
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bill Schuette (R) |
Geoffrey Fieger (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Target-Insyght | November 1–6, 2017 | 1,000 | ± 3.6% | 42% | 35% | 23% |
EPIC-MRA | August 27 – September 1, 2017 | 600 | ± 4% | 43% | 33% | 24% |
- with Bill Schuette and Mike Duggan
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Bill Schuette (R) |
Mike Duggan (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Target-Insyght | November 1–6, 2017 | 1,000 | ± 3.6% | 32% | 47% | 21% |
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of August 27, 2018 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate (party) | Total receipts | Total disbursements | Cash on hand |
Gretchen Whitmer (D) | $7,134,218.66 | $5,599,850.57 | $1,534,368.09 |
Bill Schuette (R) | $6,175,889.09 | $4,741,577.63 | $1,434,311.46 |
Bill Gelineau (L) | $54,785.88 | $51,267.71 | $3,518.17 |
Source: Michigan Department of State[183] |
Debates
[edit]Two televised debates between Schuette and Whitmer were scheduled. The first debate was held on Friday, October 12, and hosted by Grand Rapids television station WOOD-TV.[184][185] That debate mainly concentrated on issues and there were no surprises or major errors from either candidate.[186] The second debate was hosted by Detroit television station WDIV and was held on Wednesday, October 24.[187] The two again clashed on various issues,[188] but Schuette made a gaffe when he mixed up Whitmer's name with that of former governor Jennifer Granholm.[189][190]
Campaign
[edit]While Whitmer's Democratic primary opponents publicly endorsed Whitmer in the general election,[191] Republican nominee Schuette left the party split after the acrimonious battle with lieutenant governor Calley, with outgoing governor Rick Snyder refusing to endorse Schuette.[176] Schuette also tried to hide his endorsement by Donald Trump from the primary in the general election.[192][193] His actions as attorney general also came back to haunt him.[194][195] Whitmer held consistent leads in polls over Schuette over the entire year.
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Gretchen Whitmer | 2,266,193 | 53.31% | +6.45% | |
Republican | Bill Schuette | 1,859,534 | 43.75% | −7.17% | |
Libertarian | Bill Gelineau | 56,606 | 1.33% | +0.20% | |
Constitution | Todd Schleiger | 29,219 | 0.69% | +0.08% | |
Green | Jennifer Kurland | 28,799 | 0.68% | +0.21% | |
Natural Law | Keith Butkovich | 10,202 | 0.24% | N/A | |
Write-in | 32 | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||
Total votes | 4,250,585 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Democratic gain from Republican |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
[edit]Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
[edit]- Clinton (largest city: St. Johns)
- Isabella (largest city: Mount Pleasant)
- Kalamazoo (largest city: Kalamazoo)
- Kent (largest city: Grand Rapids)
- Leelanau (largest CDP: Greilickville)
- Macomb (largest city: Warren)
- Oakland (largest city: Troy)
By congressional district
[edit]Whitmer won 7 of Michigan's 14 congressional districts.[196] The seven districts she won all elected Democrats to Congress, and the seven that Schuette won all elected Republicans, though he won the district that elected Justin Amash by a very narrow margin of 0.4% and the district that elected Fred Upton by an even thinner 0.2%.
District | Schuette | Whitmer | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 53% | 44% | Jack Bergman |
2nd | 52% | 43% | Bill Huizenga |
3rd | 48.6% | 48.2% | Justin Amash |
4th | 55% | 42% | John Moolenaar |
5th | 40% | 57% | Dan Kildee |
6th | 48.4% | 48.2% | Fred Upton |
7th | 51% | 46% | Tim Walberg |
8th | 46% | 51% | Mike Bishop |
Elissa Slotkin | |||
9th | 38% | 59% | Sander Levin |
Andy Levin | |||
10th | 56% | 41% | |
Paul Mitchell | |||
11th | 46% | 52% | Dave Trott |
Haley Stevens | |||
12th | 30% | 67% | Debbie Dingell |
13th | 16% | 81% | Brenda Jones |
Rashida Tlaib | |||
14th | 18% | 80% | Brenda Lawrence |
Notes
[edit]- Partisan clients
References
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- ^ "Michigan Restaurant Association Endorses Bill Schuette for Governor" (PDF). MRA. May 9, 2018.
- ^ Schuette, Bill. "More Great News! I'm proud to receive the endorsement of the 30,000 members of Michigan Realtors. I look forward to working with them to grow our paychecks and population, while making Michigan Win Again! #PaycheckAgenda". Twitter.
- ^ "Small Business Endorses Bill Schuette for Governor". NFIB. September 26, 2018. Archived from the original on October 17, 2018.
- ^ "43 County Prosecutors Endorse Bill Schuette For Governor". Bill Schuette for Governor. April 9, 2018. Archived from the original on August 17, 2018. Retrieved May 30, 2018.
- ^ "NRA Endorses Bill Schuette for Governor of Michigan". NRA-ILA. September 25, 2018. Archived from the original on September 25, 2018.
...the National Rifle Association's Political Victory Fund (NRA-PVF) today endorsed Bill Schuette for governor of Michigan.
- ^ "Small Business Association of Michigan Endorses Schuette for Governor". Small Business Association of Michigan. August 14, 2018. Archived from the original on September 6, 2018. Retrieved September 6, 2018.
- ^ Bartkowiak, Dave Jr. (October 30, 2017). "Oakland County Sheriff endorses Bill Schuette for Michigan..." Clickondetroit.com. Retrieved April 16, 2018.
- ^ "L. Brooks Patterson endorses Bill Schuette for Michigan governor". Archived from the original on October 23, 2017. Retrieved October 23, 2017.
- ^ "Florida Attorney General Pam Bondi Endorses Bill Schuette for Governor". Schuette for Governor. April 16, 2018. Archived from the original on August 17, 2018. Retrieved May 30, 2018.
- ^ Donald Trump Jr. "Excited to see @JohnJamesMI and @SchuetteOnDuty win big tonight in Michigan. They're both great candidates who are #MAGA to the core. #MISEN #MIGOV". Twitter.
- ^ "Endorsements". Archived from the original on March 23, 2018. Retrieved April 16, 2018.
- ^ Daalder, Marc. "Joe Biden endorses Gretchen Whitmer in Michigan's governor race". Detroit Free Press. Marc Daalder. Retrieved August 15, 2018.
- ^ Clinton, Hillary. ".@GretchenWhitmer never backs down from tackling the problems facing Michigan's working families, and she was a key leader in addressing Detroit's financial crisis. The Flint water crisis was a powerful motivator in Gretchen's decision to jump in the race". Twitter.
- ^ Whitmer, Gretchen. "Thank you @EricHolder for your support! #LetsGetItDone". Twitter.
- ^ Obama, Barack. "Today, I'm proud to endorse even more Democratic candidates who aren't just running against something, but for something—to expand opportunity for all of us and to restore dignity, honor, and compassion to public service. They deserve your vote". Twitter.
- ^ Conant, Caitlin (August 6, 2018). "Who and what to watch in politics this week - the competitive primaries". CBS. Retrieved August 6, 2018.
- ^ Peters, Gary. "We need leaders in Lansing who will expand access to affordable health care and fight for middle class families. That's why I'm proud to support @gretchenwhitmer for Governor and @garlin for Lieutenant Governor! #MIGOV". Twitter.
- ^ Whitmer, Gretchen. "I'm proud to have the support of @BernieSanders! Join us Friday, October 19th for a rally with Senator Sanders at @UMich's Rackham Auditorium". Twitter.
- ^ Stabenow, Debbie. "Garlin Gilchrist II is a tremendous choice! He's a proven problem solver and community leader with a strong background in technology. @Gretchenwhitmer and @garlin are the partners in Lansing we need to get things done for MI families!". Twitter.
- ^ a b c d Gray, Kathleen. "Congressional Democrats endorse Gretchen Whitmer for Governor". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved March 12, 2018.
- ^ "Schwarz: Why Whitmer should be our next leader".
- ^ Bartkowiak Jr., Dave. "Former Michigan Gov. Blanchard Endorses Gretchen Whitmer for Governor". ClickOnDetroit. Post-Newsweek Stations/Graham Media Group. Archived from the original on September 16, 2017. Retrieved September 15, 2017.
- ^ Gilchrist, Garlin. "Enjoyed the opportunity to sit down and engage with the Genesee County Democratic Party and special guest former Lieutenant Governor, Honorable John Cherry. Thank you for building our people power to #StandTALLforMichigan". Twitter.
- ^ Granholm, Jennifer. "Congratulations to @gretchenwhitmer and to Michiganders who want an honest, fiercely compassionate, salt-of-the-earth fighter for them". Twitter.
- ^ Inslee, Jay. "Bill Schuette may call her Jennifer, but I'm looking forward to calling @gretchenwhitmer Governor. #migov". Twitter.
- ^ Curtis Hertel Jr. "Proud to support @gretchenwhitmer for Governor!". Twitter.
- ^ "Endorsements". Gretchen Whitmer for Governor. Archived from the original on March 23, 2018. Retrieved April 16, 2018.
- ^ Whitmer, Gretchen. "Thank you Rep. Sneller for your support!". Twitter.
- ^ Whitmer, Gretchen. "Elections are won through hard work and determination. I'm so grateful for the support of @mayormikeduggan and everyone who put in the work to help us win. Now let's get to work and make sure we do it again in November!". Twitter.
- ^ Randick, Michael (November 14, 2017). "Iron Workers Local 25 Endorses Gretchen Whitmer for Governor". Praise 102.7. Archived from the original on April 15, 2018. Retrieved April 15, 2018.
- ^ Bieber, Ron (April 11, 2018). "Michigan AFL-CIO Endorses Gretchen Whitmer for Governor - Michigan AFL-CIO". Michigan AFL-CIO. Archived from the original on April 15, 2018. Retrieved April 15, 2018.
- ^ Langefeld, Riley (January 16, 2018). "Michigan Education Association endorses Gretchen Whitmer for governor". The Michigan Daily.
- ^ "International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Michigan State Conference Endorses Gretchen Whitmer for Governor". Medium.com. Retrieved February 14, 2018.
- ^ Williams, Dennis (March 19, 2018). "United Automobile Workers Endorse Gretchen Whitmer for Governor". UAW. Archived from the original on April 15, 2018. Retrieved April 15, 2018.
- ^ "Chelsea Handler on Twitter". Retrieved July 30, 2018.
- ^ "Cecile Richards on Twitter". Retrieved August 1, 2018.
- ^ "ENDORSEMENTS (Bottom of campaign website homepage)". The Bill Gelineau for Governor Committee. Retrieved September 21, 2018.
- ^ "Endorsements from Todd Schleiger's website" (PDF). August 11, 2018. Retrieved August 14, 2018.
- ^ a b "Rick Snyder won't endorse Bill Schuette for Michigan governor". Detroit Free Press.
- ^ Todd Schleiger (U.S. Taxpayers), Jennifer Kurkland (G), and Keith Butkovich (Natural Law) with 1%
- ^ Includes Jennifer Kurkland (G), Keith Butkovich (Natural Law), Todd Schleiger (U.S. Taxpayers) with 1%
- ^ Todd Schleiger (U.S. Taxpayers) with 2%, Jennifer Kurland (G) with 1%, Keith Butkovich (Natural Law) with 1%
- ^ Includes Jennifer Kurland (G) with 2%
- ^ a b c Jennifer Kurland (G)
- ^ Includes Jennifer Kurland (G) with 0.8%, Keith Butkovich (NL) with 0.5%, and Todd Schleiger (UST) with 0.5%. https://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=822587
- ^ "Campaign finance data". Retrieved September 24, 2018.
- ^ "Schuette, Whitmer to debate in Grand Rapids". September 14, 2018.
- ^ Complete video of debate, October 12, 2018
- ^ "Whitmer and Schuette trade blows in bare-knuckle Grand Rapids debate".
- ^ "Local 4 to host Bill Schuette, Gretchen Whitmer for". Archived from the original on September 15, 2018. Retrieved September 15, 2018.
- ^ "Governor candidates talk UIA scandal, auto insurance at final debate". October 25, 2018.
- ^ "'Learn my name,' Whitmer says after Schuette confuses her with Jennifer Granholm". October 25, 2018.
- ^ Complete video of debate, October 24, 2018
- ^ "El-Sayed, Thanedar rally support for Whitmer in governor race". August 27, 2018.
- ^ "Bill Schuette no longer touts Trump ties, but president's shadow follows". September 20, 2018. Archived from the original on December 31, 2018. Retrieved December 30, 2018.
- ^ DeVito, Lee (September 20, 2018). "Some Republicans are supporting Whitmer over Schuette". Detroit Metro Times. Archived from the original on September 30, 2020. Retrieved December 8, 2020.
- ^ "Schuette's gay rights record in spotlight amid chamber backlash".
- ^ "Bill Schuette's record as attorney general should scare the pants off you".
- ^ "Twitter".
External links
[edit]- Official campaign websites