2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii
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Both Hawaii seats in the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Turnout | 46.4% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Democratic 60–70% 70–80%
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Elections in Hawaii |
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The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of Hawaii, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
There was a small swing towards both the Democratic and Republican party candidates as a result of a decreased field of third-party candidates. The only third-party candidate successfully nominated was Michelle Tippens of the Libertarian Party (United States).[1] The Aloha ʻĀina Party focused instead on their campaign for Dan Decker for the 2022 United States' Senate Election. John Giuffre's American Shopping Party was not on the ballot following the State of Hawaii Office of Elections' proclamation to disqualify the party for not receiving the prerequisite support in the 2020 elections. While Giuffre nominated as an independent candidate, he did not receive sufficient support to appear on the ballot.
Overview
[edit]District
[edit]Results of the 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii by district:[1]
District | Democratic | Republican | Others | Total | Result | ||||
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Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 143,546 | 70.9% | 51,217 | 25.3% | 7,615 | 3.8% | 202,378 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
District 2 | 128,407 | 59.2% | 72,874 | 33.6% | 15,704 | 7.2% | 216,985 | 100.00% | Democratic hold |
Total | 271,953 | 64.8% | 124,091 | 29.6% | 23,319 | 5.6% | 419,363 | 100.00% |
District 1
[edit]
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Precinct results Case: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district is located entirely on the island of Oahu, centering on Honolulu and the towns of Aiea, Mililani, Pearl City, Waipahu and Waimalu. The incumbent was Democrat Ed Case, who was re-elected with 72.0% of the vote in 2020.[2]
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Ed Case, incumbent U.S. representative and co-chair of the Blue Dog Coalition[3]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Sergio Alcubilla, attorney and former director of external relations at the Legal Aid Society of Hawaii[3]
Endorsements
[edit]- State legislators
- Gary Hooser, former state senator (2002–2010)[4]
- Individuals
- Marianne Williamson, author and candidate for the Democratic nomination for President of the United States in 2020[5]
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Ed Case |
Sergio Alcubilla |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MRG Research | June 28–30, 2022 | 390 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 65% | 8% | 27% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ed Case (incumbent) | 100,667 | 83.2 | |
Democratic | Sergio Alcubilla | 20,364 | 16.8 | |
Total votes | 121,031 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Conrad Kress, former United States Navy SEAL[9]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Conrad Kress | 13,449 | 50.4 | |
Republican | Arturo Reyes | 7,465 | 28.0 | |
Republican | Patrick Largey | 5,785 | 21.7 | |
Total votes | 26,699 | 100.0 |
Nonpartisan primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Steven Abkin, construction manager and engineer (also running as Democrat)
- Calvin Griffin, perennial candidate
Failed to qualify
[edit]- Joseph Gilmore (write-in)[11]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Nonpartisan | Calvin Griffin | 270 | 53.6 | |
Nonpartisan | Steven Abkin | 234 | 46.4 | |
Total votes | 504 | 100.0 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[12] | Solid D | February 7, 2022 |
Inside Elections[13] | Solid D | March 18, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] | Safe D | February 2, 2022 |
Politico[15] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[16] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[17] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[18] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[19] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ed Case (incumbent) | 143,546 | 73.7 | |
Republican | Conrad Kress | 51,217 | 26.3 | |
Total votes | 194,763 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 2
[edit]
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Tokuda: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Akana: 40–50% 50–60% 70–80% >90% Tie: 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district takes in rural and suburban Oahu, including Waimanalo Beach, Kailua, Kaneohe, Kahuku, Makaha, Nanakuli, as well as encompassing all the other islands of Hawaii, taking in Maui and Hilo. The incumbent was Democrat Kai Kahele, who was elected with 63.0% of the vote in 2020.[2] He announced that he would run for Hawaii governor.
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Jill Tokuda, former state senator and candidate for Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii in 2018 (previously filed to run for Lieutenant Governor)[20]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Patrick Branco, state representative[21][22]
- Nicole Gi, environmental engineer[23]
- Brendan Schultz, humanitarian aid nonprofit founder[24][25]
- Steven Sparks[24]
- Kyle Yoshida, mechanical engineer[24][25]
Declined
[edit]- Kai Kahele, incumbent U.S. Representative (running for governor)[26]
- Jarrett Keohokalole, state senator[21] (running for re-election)[27]
Endorsements
[edit]- U.S. senators
- Mazie Hirono, U.S. senator from Hawaii (2013–present)[31][32]
- Brian Schatz, U.S. senator from Hawaii (2012–present)[33]
- U.S. representatives
- Judy Chu, U.S. representative from CA-27 (2009–present)[32]
- Pramila Jayapal, U.S. representative from WA-7 (2017–present)[34][33]
- Kai Kahele, outgoing U.S. representative from HI-2 (2021–2023)[33]
- Ted Lieu, U.S. representative from CA-33 (2015–present)[32]
- Mark Pocan, U.S. representative from WI-2 (2013–present)[34]
- Jamie Raskin, U.S. representative from MA-8 (2017–present)[34]
- Brad Sherman, U.S. representative from CA-30 (1997–present)[32]
- Mark Takano, U.S. representative from CA-41 (2013–present)[32]
- State legislators
- Adrian Tam, state representative from the 22nd district (2020–present)[28]
- Editorial boards
- Honolulu Star-Advertiser Editorial Board[6]
- Labor unions
- Hawaii Government Employees Association, AFSCME Local 152[28]
- Hawaii International Association of Bridge, Structural, Ornamental and Reinforcing Iron Workers Local 625[31]
- Hawaii State AFL-CIO[35]
- Hawaii State Teachers Association[36]
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local 1186[31]
- International Union of Operating Engineers Local 3[31]
- United Public Workers, AFSCME Local 646[37]
- Organizations
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Patrick Branco |
Jill Tokuda |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MRG Research | June 28–30, 2022 | 391 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 6% | 31% | 63% |
OmniTrak (D)[A] | May 9–25, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 7% | 36% | 57% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jill Tokuda | 62,275 | 57.6 | |
Democratic | Patrick Branco | 27,057 | 25.0 | |
Democratic | Kyle Yoshida | 6,624 | 6.1 | |
Democratic | Brendan Schultz | 6,115 | 5.7 | |
Democratic | Nicole Gi | 3,937 | 3.6 | |
Democratic | Steven Sparks | 2,137 | 2.0 | |
Total votes | 108,145 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Joe Webster[24]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Joe Akana | 28,200 | 83.9 | |
Republican | Joe Webster | 5,403 | 16.1 | |
Total votes | 33,603 | 100.0 |
Libertarian Party
[edit]Nominee
[edit]Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Libertarian | Michelle Rose Tippens | 343 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 343 | 100.0 |
Independents
[edit]Declared
[edit]- John "Raghu" Giuffre[10]
Declined
[edit]- Charles Djou, former Republican U.S. representative for Hawaii's 1st congressional district (2010–2011) and candidate for Mayor of Honolulu in 2016[43]
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[12] | Solid D | February 7, 2022 |
Inside Elections[13] | Solid D | March 18, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] | Safe D | February 2, 2022 |
Politico[15] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[16] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[17] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[18] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[19] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jill Tokuda | 128,407 | 62.2 | |
Republican | Joe Akana | 72,874 | 35.3 | |
Libertarian | Michelle Tippens | 5,130 | 2.5 | |
Total votes | 206,411 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
Notes
[edit]- Partisan clients
- ^ This poll was sponsored by Tokuda's campaign.
References
[edit]- ^ a b c d "GENERAL ELECTION 2022 - Statewide - November 8, 2022" (PDF). Hawaii Office of Elections. November 9, 2022. Retrieved November 13, 2022.
- ^ a b Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 2020". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives.
- ^ a b Blair, Chad (October 11, 2021). "Chad Blair: Ed Case Draws A Challenger From The Left". Honolulu Civil Beat. Retrieved November 1, 2021.
- ^ Blair, Chad (October 11, 2021). "Ed Case Draws A Challenger From The Left". Honolulu Civil Beat. Retrieved April 28, 2022.
- ^ "Marianne Williamson's Candidate Summit". Candidate Summit. Retrieved December 12, 2021.
- ^ a b "Editorial: Brian Schatz, Jill Tokuda, Ed Case for Congress". Honolulu Star-Advertiser. October 24, 2022. Retrieved March 29, 2023.
- ^ "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved December 22, 2021.
- ^ a b c d e f "Primary Election 2022 – State of Hawaii – Statewide August 13, 2022 Summary Report" (PDF). State of Hawaii Office of Elections. August 14, 2022. Retrieved August 16, 2022.
- ^ Grube, Nick (April 19, 2022). "Hardly Anyone Is Raising Money To Run Against Kahele, Case Or Schatz". Honolulu Civil Beat. Retrieved May 14, 2022.
- ^ a b c "State of Hawaii : Office of Elections Online Voter Registration". olvr.hawaii.gov. Retrieved July 8, 2022.
- ^ "Joseph Gilmore FEC Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved October 25, 2021.
- ^ a b "2022 House Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 7, 2022.
- ^ a b "House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 18, 2022.
- ^ a b "2022 House Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. February 2, 2022. Retrieved February 2, 2022.
- ^ a b "2022 Election Forecast". Politico. April 5, 2022.
- ^ a b "Battle for the House 2022". RCP. June 9, 2022.
- ^ a b "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. July 11, 2022. Retrieved July 11, 2022.
- ^ a b "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
- ^ a b "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
- ^ Staff, H. N. N. "Former State Sen. Jill Tokuda announces run for Kahele's seat in Congress". www.hawaiinewsnow.com. Retrieved December 20, 2022.
- ^ a b "Chad Blair: A Line Forms To Replace Kai Kahele In Congress". Honolulu Civil Beat. April 7, 2022. Retrieved April 7, 2022.
- ^ Nakaso, Dan (May 5, 2022). "State Rep. Patrick Branco announces run for Kai Kahele's Congressional seat". Retrieved May 7, 2022.
- ^ "Nicole Gi, 2nd Congressional District: Democrat in Name Only". June 17, 2022.
- ^ a b c d e f "Nearly 400 Candidates File for Hawaii's Primary Election". June 8, 2022.
- ^ a b c d "Politics1 - Online Guide to Hawaii Elections, Candidates & Politics".
- ^ Annie Grayer and Alex Rogers (April 28, 2022). "Democratic Rep. Kai Kahele will retire from Congress, source says". CNN. Retrieved April 29, 2022.
- ^ Blair, Chad (April 27, 2022). "Chad Blair: A Jill Tokuda Candidacy Could Upend A Race For Congress". www.civilbeat.org. Honolulu Civil Beat. Retrieved April 28, 2022.
- ^ a b c d e Grube, Nick (July 6, 2022). "Hawaii's Congressional District 2 Race: Veteran Tokuda Vs. Newcomer Branco". Honolulu Civil Beat. Retrieved July 6, 2022.
- ^ "LGBTQ Victory Fund Endorses 23 LGBTQ Candidates, Including Patrick Branco in Hawaii and Erick Russell in Connecticut". LGBTQ Victory Fund. June 22, 2022. Retrieved August 11, 2022.
- ^ Marans, Daniel (August 12, 2022). "How A Surge Of Super PAC Money Upended A Hawaii Congressional Primary". HuffPost. Retrieved March 29, 2023.
- ^ a b c d "Election, campaign line-up: McKelvey endorsed by HSTA; Bissen and Tokuda endorsed by HGEA; Schwartz announces candidacy". Maui Now. June 10, 2022. Retrieved March 29, 2023.
- ^ a b c d e Grube, Nick (October 16, 2022). "Jill Tokuda Looks Like A Shoo-In For Congress. What Would She Do?". Honolulu Civil Beat. Retrieved March 29, 2023.
- ^ a b c Yang, Mary (November 9, 2022). "Hawai'i voters put Democrat Jill Tokuda on glide path to Congress". The Yappie via Asian American Journalists Association. Retrieved March 29, 2023.
- ^ a b c d "Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC Endorses Jill Tokuda in HI-02". Congressional Progressive Caucus. June 22, 2022. Retrieved July 6, 2022.
- ^ "THE FACTS: Hawaii State AFL-CIO 2022 Endorsements". Vote Smart. Retrieved March 29, 2023.
- ^ "HSTA recommends Jill Tokuda for Hawaii's Second Congressional District". Hawaii State Teachers Association. July 18, 2022. Retrieved March 29, 2023.
- ^ "United Public Workers 2022 General Election". United Public Workers Hawaii. Retrieved March 29, 2023.
- ^ "AAAFund Endorses Former State Senator Jill Tokuda for Congress". Asian American Action Fund. August 12, 2022. Retrieved March 29, 2023.
- ^ Bowman, Bridget; Kamisar, Ben (June 6, 2022). "Midterm Roundup: Last minute spending in California". NBC News. Retrieved July 6, 2022.
- ^ "Jill Tokuda Earns LCV Action Fund Endorsement to Continue Fighting for Environmental Justice In Congress". League of Conservation Voters. September 14, 2022.
- ^ "NARAL Pro-Choice Endorses Nine Candidates for Election to the U.S. House". NARAL Pro-Choice America. September 28, 2022. Retrieved March 29, 2023.
- ^ "Hawai'i Candidate Endorsements and Federal Endorsements by Planned Parenthood Action Fund". Planned Parenthood Action Fund. Retrieved March 29, 2023.
- ^ "Chad Blair: A Line Forms to Replace Kai Kahele in Congress". April 6, 2022.
External links
[edit]Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates