2019年印度尼西亞總統選舉:修订间差异

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== 背景 ==
=== 政治局勢 ===
原雅加達首都特區省長[[佐科·維多多]]在[[2014年印度尼西亞總統選舉|2014年7月的總統選舉]]中擊敗前[[印度尼西亞國民軍|國民軍]]將領[[普拉博沃·蘇比安托]],當選第7任[[印度尼西亞總統|印尼總統]];當時激進[[穆斯林]]嘗試利用身分政治議題令佐科落選,但是不成功<ref name=sentinel/>。起初普拉博沃認為投票和點票的程序並不妥當,並向{{en-link|印度尼西亞共和國憲法法院|Constitutional Court of Indonesia|憲法法院}}提出上訴,但是在8月被駁回。佐科在同年10月20日就任總統,{{en-link|工作內閣|Working Cabinet (Joko Widodo)|他的內閣}}也在同月26日宣誓就職。不過,支持普拉博沃的五個政黨在[[2014年印度尼西亞立法機構選舉|2014年4月的立法選舉]]中獲得[[人民協商會議]](立法機構)過半數席次,與佐科內閣構成對立局面<ref>{{cite book|author1={{lang|ja|川村晃一}}|author2={{lang|ja|濱田美紀}}|script-title=ja:アジア動向年報 : 2015|publisher={{lang|ja|日本貿易振興機構アジア経済研究所研究支援部}}|location=千葉市|date=2015-05|script-chapter=ja:ジョコ・ウィドド新政権の船出 : 2014年のインドネシア|isbn=978-4-258-01015-8|url=http://hdl.handle.net/2344/00002808|accessdate=2019-04-11|language=ja|title=|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190915093024/https://ir.ide.go.jp/?action=pages_view_main&active_action=repository_view_main_item_detail&item_id=38298&item_no=1&page_id=39&block_id=158|archive-date=2019-09-15|dead-url=no}}</ref>。後來佐科成功遊說[[專業集團黨]]和{{en-link|建設統一黨|United Development Party}}加入政府,改變這個形勢<ref>{{cite news |title=Jokowi vs. Prabowo: Who Will Win in 2019? |url=http://insight.jakartaglobe.id/jokowi-vs-prabowo-who-will-win-in-2019/ |accessdate=2018-09-24 |work=Jakarta Globe |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180217230714/http://insight.jakartaglobe.id/jokowi-vs-prabowo-who-will-win-in-2019/ |archive-date=2018-02-17 |dead-url=yes }}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last1=Chandran |first1=Nyshka |title=Two years on, Indonesian President Jokowi is just getting started |url=https://www.cnbc.com/2016/10/18/indonesian-president-jokowi-celebrates-2-years-in-office-with-an-eye-on-2019-vote.html |accessdate=2018-09-24 |work=CNBC |date=2016-10-18 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180825143217/https://www.cnbc.com/2016/10/18/indonesian-president-jokowi-celebrates-2-years-in-office-with-an-eye-on-2019-vote.html |archive-date=2018-08-25 |dead-url=no }}</ref>。
 
佐科擔任總統期間,印尼先後在{{en-link|2015年印度尼西亞地方選舉|2015 Indonesian local elections|2015年}}、{{en-link|2017年印度尼西亞地方選舉|2017 Indonesian local elections|2017年}}和{{en-link|2018年印度尼西亞地方選舉|2018 Indonesian local elections|2018年}}舉行了三輪地方選舉。在2017年改選省長的省區包括{{en-link|2017年雅加達省長選舉|2017 Jakarta gubernatorial election|雅加達}},當年佐科的前副手,原雅加達首都特區省長[[鍾萬學]]被激進穆斯林指控褻瀆[[伊斯蘭教]],之後他不但被[[阿尼斯·巴斯威丹]]擊敗,無法連任,還被法院裁定褻瀆宗教罪成,判處監禁兩年<ref>{{cite news|title=Fears of Muslim Identity Politics in 2019 Presidential Election|url=http://insight.jakartaglobe.id/fears-muslim-identity-politics-2019-presidential-election/|accessdate=2018-09-24|work=Jakarta Globe|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180107200828/http://insight.jakartaglobe.id/fears-muslim-identity-politics-2019-presidential-election/|archive-date=2018-01-07|dead-url=yes}}</ref><ref name=sentinel>{{cite news |title='Political Islam' Threatens Indonesia's Jokowi - Asia Sentinel |url=https://www.asiasentinel.com/politics/political-islam-threaten-indonesia-jokowi/ |accessdate=2018-09-24 |work=Asia Sentinel |date=2018-04-09 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181205004811/https://www.asiasentinel.com/politics/political-islam-threaten-indonesia-jokowi/ |archive-date=2018-12-05 |dead-url=no }}</ref>。雖然宗教因素在2018年地方選舉沒有消失,不過相比起宗教和種族身分,公眾比較看重候選人過往的政績<ref>{{cite news |last1=Allard |first1=Tom |title=Islamists fail to sway regional Indonesian elections |url=https://www.reuters.com/article/us-indonesia-elections-islamists/islamists-fail-to-sway-regional-indonesian-elections-idUSKBN1JO1GI |accessdate=2018-12-04 |work=Reuters |date=2018-06-28 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190105201430/https://www.reuters.com/article/us-indonesia-elections-islamists/islamists-fail-to-sway-regional-indonesian-elections-idUSKBN1JO1GI |archive-date=2019-01-05 |dead-url=no }}</ref>。
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選舉結束後,佐科在4月18日召開記者會,宣稱民調機構的快速計票結果顯示自己以54.5%的得票率勝出。不久後,普拉博沃也按照他們競選團隊進行的調查,宣稱自己以62%的得票率勝出<ref>{{cite news |author1=Karlis Salna |author2=Arys Aditya |title=Jokowi Claims Win in Indonesia Vote as Challenger Disputes Tally |url=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-04-18/jokowi-claims-win-in-indonesia-vote-as-challenger-disputes-tally |accessdate=2019-04-19 |work=Bloomberg |date=2019-04-18 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190418115900/https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-04-18/jokowi-claims-win-in-indonesia-vote-as-challenger-disputes-tally |archive-date=2019-04-18 |dead-url=no}}</ref>,並批評民調機構立場偏頗<ref>{{cite news |author=Made Anthony Iswara |author2=Nurul Fitri Ramadhani |title=Prabowo claims election lead, accuses pollsters of being 'partisan' |url=https://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2019/04/17/prabowo-claims-election-lead-accuses-pollsters-of-being-partisan.html |accessdate=2019-04-17 |work=The Jakarta Post |date=2019-04-17 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190417174419/https://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2019/04/17/prabowo-claims-election-lead-accuses-pollsters-of-being-partisan.html |archive-date=2019-04-17 |dead-url=no}}</ref> ,不過智庫組織「印尼公共研究院」(Indonesian Public Institute)認為普拉博沃團隊進行的調查並不符合實際的點票率,因此結果並不合理<ref>{{cite news |author=Friski Riana |editor=Tulus Wijanarko |title=IPI: Data Klaim Menang Prabowo Tidak Proporsional dengan KPU |url=https://pilpres.tempo.co/read/1199326/ipi-data-klaim-menang-prabowo-tidak-proporsional-dengan-kpu |accessdate=2019-05-21 |work=Tempo |location=Jakarta |date=2019-04-25 |language=id |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190428142340/https://pilpres.tempo.co/read/1199326/ipi-data-klaim-menang-prabowo-tidak-proporsional-dengan-kpu |archive-date=2019-04-28 |dead-url=no }}</ref>。選舉結果公布當日(5月21日),佐科在[[中雅加達行政市]]一個貧民區發表勝利演說,向國民承諾自己和馬魯夫就任正、副總統之後,將致力為全體印尼人民實現社會公義。不過普拉博沃陣營表明,由於選委會不接受他們的改進提議,所以他們不會接受選舉結果,並呼籲支持者走上街頭,抗議選舉結果<ref name=wahyudi>{{cite news |author1=Wahyudi Soeriaatmadja |last2=Chan |first2=Francis |title=Indonesian presidential candidate Prabowo rejects election result, will challenge it in Constitutional Court |url=https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/se-asia/prabowo-after-defeat-says-will-not-accept-indonesia-election-result |accessdate=2019-05-21 |work=The Straits Times |publisher=Singapore Press Holdings |date=2019-05-21 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190521115921/https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/se-asia/prabowo-after-defeat-says-will-not-accept-indonesia-election-result |archive-date=2019-05-21 |dead-url=no }}</ref>。結果其支持者在雅加達舉行的[[2019年雅加達示威及騷亂|示威演變成一場持續兩天的騷亂]],造成8人死亡,737人受傷<ref>{{cite news |author=Yulida Medistiara |title=Anies: 8 Orang Meninggal Dunia dalam Aksi 21-22 Mei |url=https://news.detik.com/berita/d-4562242/anies-8-orang-meninggal-dunia-dalam-aksi-21-22-mei |accessdate=2019-05-23 |work=detikNews |location=Jakarta |date=2019-05-23 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190523153107/https://news.detik.com/berita/d-4562242/anies-8-orang-meninggal-dunia-dalam-aksi-21-22-mei |archive-date=2019-05-23 |dead-url=no }}</ref>。事後警方認為騷亂由收受金錢的不法分子和[[伊斯蘭國]]支持者主導<ref>{{cite news |author=Linda Yulisman |title=Indonesia's police reveal murder plots targeting state officials |url=https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/se-asia/indonesias-police-reveal-murder-plots-targeting-state-officials |accessdate=2019-05-27 |work=The Straits Times |location=Jakarta |publisher=Singapore Press Holdings |date=2019-05-27|archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20190527231859/https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/se-asia/indonesias-police-reveal-murder-plots-targeting-state-officials|archivedate=2019-05-27}}</ref>。另外,反對派支持者也在[[北蘇門答臘省]][[棉蘭|棉蘭市]]、[[西加里曼丹省]][[坤甸|坤甸市]]舉行集會,抗議選舉結果<ref>{{cite news |title=印尼警方:效忠伊国组织人士参与雅加达骚乱 图发起圣战 |url=https://www.zaobao.com/news/sea/story20190524-958940 |accessdate=2019-05-25 |work=联合早报 |publisher=新加坡报业控股 |location=雅加達 |date=2019-05-24 |archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20190525133122/https://www.zaobao.com.sg/news/sea/story20190524-958940 |archivedate=2019-05-25}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |title=Post-election unrest grips Jakarta |url=https://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2019/05/22/post-election-unrest-grips-jakarta.html |accessdate=2019-05-22 |work=The Jakarta Post |date=2019-05-22 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190522224051/https://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2019/05/22/post-election-unrest-grips-jakarta.html |archive-date=2019-05-22 |dead-url=no }}</ref>。
 
普拉博沃在5月14日宣布他的團隊已經收集到了「選舉不法行為」的證據<ref>{{cite news |last=Chan |first=Francis |title=Indonesia elections: Prabowo alleges fraud, says he will reject official vote tally |url=https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/se-asia/indonesia-elections-prabowo-alleges-fraud-says-he-will-reject-official-vote-tally |accessdate=2019-05-22 |work=The Straits Times |publisher=Singapore Press Holdings |location=Jakarta |date=2019-05-15 |archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20190529173220/https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/se-asia/indonesia-elections-prabowo-alleges-fraud-says-he-will-reject-official-vote-tally |archivedate=2019-05-29}}</ref>,並於5月25日以選舉舞弊為由,向憲法法院提出上訴。他們收集到的證據包括佐科陣營利用金錢政治操控選舉的證明,投給佐科的問題選票,以及有問題的選民名單<ref>{{cite news |author1=Ghina Ghaliya Quddus |author2=Marguerite Afra Sapiie |title=Prabowo takes poll fight to court |url=https://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2019/05/25/prabowo-takes-poll-fight-to-court.html |date=2019-05-25 |accessdate=2019-06-06 |work=The Jakarta Post|archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20190606112400/https://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2019/05/25/prabowo-takes-poll-fight-to-court.html|archivedate=2019-06-06}}</ref>。憲法法院在6月27日以證據不足為由,一致裁定普拉博沃敗訴<ref>{{cite news|author1=Marguerite Afra Sapiie|author2=Karina Tehusijarana|author3=Ghina Ghaliya|title=Case closed|url=https://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2019/06/28/case-closed.html|work=The Jakarta Post|p=1|subscription=yes|date=2019-06-27|accessdate=2019-06-27|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190712141717/https://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2019/06/28/case-closed.html|archive-date=2019-07-12|dead-url=no}}</ref>。
 
== 備註 ==